Language:English
Boca Juniors v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prediction 62.84%1.59fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.55%62.84%62.79%65.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5569.93%67.74%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit)
Prediction 14.15%7.07fair odd
EV +6.13%
Edge +0.817%
Kelly +0.942%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.72%14.20%14.14%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.546.757.5017.54%15.28%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.01%4.35fair odd
EV +3.98%
Edge +0.881%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 4.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%22.96%23.07%24.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.024.004.5228.57%24.88%25.00%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boca Juniors (Local): 62.84%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 14.15%; Draw: 23.01%. For Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.07. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -6.36%E -4.27%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +6.13%E +0.817%K +0.942%G +0.058% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.02%EV -6.36%E -4.27%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +6.13%E +0.817%K +0.942%G +0.058% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.53%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +2.59%E +0.357%K +0.414%G +0.011% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.87%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.48%EV +0.607%E +0.085%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.65%EV -2.69%E -0.635%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.49%EV -8.88%E -6.12%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.51%EV -0.525%E -0.075%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.01%EV +3.98%E +0.881%K +1.13%G +0.045% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.87%EV -2.59%E -1.67%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.949%E -0.136%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.87%EV -2.59%E -1.67%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -0.949%E -0.136%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV -0.949%E -0.136%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -1.08%E -0.251%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -7.62%E -5.18%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -0.949%E -0.136%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -7.62%E -5.18%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -0.949%E -0.136%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -9.50%E -6.60%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -0.949%E -0.136%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -6.36%E -4.27%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -2.36%E -0.343%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -6.36%E -4.27%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -2.36%E -0.343%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -6.36%E -4.27%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 23:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -8.88%E -6.12%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.03%EV -8.88%E -6.12%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.03%EV -8.88%E -6.12%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.19%EV -9.50%E -6.60%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -4.49%E -0.665%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -5.19%E -0.775%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.83%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.15%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -8.02%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.08%E -0.251%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.02%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.02%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.02%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.50%E -6.60%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.02%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-28 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.80%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.61%EV -8.73%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.59%EV -4.07%E -0.976%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 23:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -8.88%E -6.12%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.53%EV -11.56%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.82%EV -8.44%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 00:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -7.62%E -5.18%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.73%EV -12.27%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-28 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.46%EV -10.13%E -7.09%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -13.68%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -15.10%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.50%E -6.60%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.10%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.50%E -6.60%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.10%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.50%E -6.60%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.10%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.50%E -6.60%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.10%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-29 00:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -9.50%E -6.60%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -15.10%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -19.48%E -5.57%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-28 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.36%EV -8.25%E -5.65%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -16.51%E -2.80%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -18.64%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -18.64%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -18.64%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -18.64%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-29 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.85%EV -8.88%E -6.12%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.73%EV -19.34%E -3.39%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-28 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 23:59 |