Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC v Atlante FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 02:40 UTC

Final: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0–1 Atlante FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local)

Prediction 69.84%1.43fair odd
EV -0.829%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.33%69.80%69.71%71.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.321.4278.74%75.20%75.76%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlante FC (Visit)

Prediction 12.81%7.81fair odd
EV +15.30%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.292%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.43%12.68%12.90%14.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.307.488.009.0015.87%13.37%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.35%5.76fair odd
EV +0.635%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.132%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.90%17.52%17.38%19.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.275.405.8022.22%18.96%18.52%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local): 69.84%; Atlante FC (Visit): 12.81%; Draw: 17.35%. For Atlante FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.81. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.68%EV -8.51%E -6.50%K -27.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +15.30%E +1.70%K +1.91%G +0.292%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.91%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 01:55
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.42%E -4.79%K -18.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.55%EV +5.69%E +0.689%K +0.785%G +0.045%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -4.57%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 02:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -7.11%E -5.35%K -21.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.10%E -0.193%K -0.234%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.45%EV -7.11%E -5.35%K -21.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.10%E -0.193%K -0.234%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.11%E -5.35%K -21.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.91%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 02:24
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:34
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.49%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.31%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 02:35
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.69%EV -3.62%E -2.63%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -3.92%E -0.523%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV -4.57%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 02:39
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -3.92%E -0.523%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.04%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 02:35
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.21%E -7.08%K -30.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -3.92%E -0.523%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.91%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 02:35
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.81%EV -4.32%E -3.15%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.31I 13.68%NM 13.08%EV -6.35%E -0.869%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.11%EV -3.01%E -0.538%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 02:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -4.57%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 02:32
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -3.62%E -2.63%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.58%E -3.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 02:29
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -9.21%E -7.08%K -30.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV +0.635%E +0.110%K +0.132%G +0.001%8.5%2026-08-05 02:20
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.21%E -7.08%K -30.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.57%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 02:25
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.95%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.49%EV -11.61%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -8.04%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 02:30
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.95%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.49%EV -11.61%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -8.04%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 02:29
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.09%EV -0.829%E -0.584%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.30%EV -14.68%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.61%EV -11.16%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:29
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.73%E -2.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -20.19%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-05 02:39
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -7.11%E -5.35%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.73%E -2.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.72%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 02:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -7.11%E -5.35%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.73%E -2.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.72%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 02:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -7.11%E -5.35%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.73%E -2.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.72%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 02:29
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.73%E -2.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -21.92%E -4.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-05 02:34
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.91%E -7.68%K -34.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -16.73%E -2.57%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -13.25%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 02:25
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.08%EV -11.31%E -8.90%K -41.87%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.72%EV -19.29%E -3.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.20%EV -17.58%E -3.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-05 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%2.1%2026-08-05 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%2.1%2026-08-05 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.59%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.79%2.7%2026-08-05 02:35
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.41%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%5.3%2026-08-05 02:32