The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tigres v Real Salt Lake

2026-08-05 02:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tigres (Local)

Prediction 33.76%2.96fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.84%33.71%33.81%34.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.742.752.9037.74%36.43%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Salt Lake (Visit)

Prediction 40.28%2.48fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.60%40.30%40.19%41.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.352.4045.45%43.22%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -0.960%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.47%25.99%26.00%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.603.7530.30%28.13%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tigres (Local): 33.76%; Real Salt Lake (Visit): 40.28%; Draw: 25.96%. For Tigres (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -2.11%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -2.11%E -0.726%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -3.94%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:34
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -8.16%E -3.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:34
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.16%EV -5.14%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.51%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.32%EV -8.09%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:50
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.64%E -0.704%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:35
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:33
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:09
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:09
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:15
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:14
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:14
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:15
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:14
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.34%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:34
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -6.14%E -2.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.83%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 20:09
Dabble (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 16:39
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.37%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.13%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 20:10
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.32%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.32%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 17:29
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.32%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.32%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 18:44
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.35%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.13%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%11.5%2026-08-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-02 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-02 20:20