The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tigres v Real Salt Lake

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 02:00 UTC

Final: Tigres 1–1 Real Salt Lake

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tigres (Local)

Prediction 41.53%2.41fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.06%41.49%41.44%43.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.252.3546.51%44.79%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Salt Lake (Visit)

Prediction 32.39%3.09fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.342%
Kelly +0.503%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.44%32.44%32.52%33.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.842.803.1237.04%35.18%35.71%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.08%3.84fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -0.807%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%26.07%26.04%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.703.7530.30%27.60%27.03%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 41.53%; Real Salt Lake (Visit): 32.39%; Draw: 26.08%. For Real Salt Lake (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.76%EV -9.88%E -4.55%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV +1.07%E +0.342%K +0.503%G +0.005%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.80%EV -4.04%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:49
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.07%EV -4.89%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.38%EV -0.554%E -0.180%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.54%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 01:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.15%EV -6.14%E -2.72%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -2.82%E -0.941%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.15%EV -6.14%E -2.72%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -2.82%E -0.941%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -3.52%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.52%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 01:44
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:54
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 01:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 01:54
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:49
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -2.40%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:55
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -9.46%E -4.34%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 01:47
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.31%E -2.33%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -8.65%E -3.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:45
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -5.31%E -2.33%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -8.65%E -3.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:54
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:54
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.82%EV -7.38%E -3.31%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.22%E -0.592%K -0.807%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 01:55
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-05 01:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-05 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-05 01:50
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-05 01:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-05 01:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-05 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-08-05 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-08-05 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-08-05 01:55
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-08-05 01:55

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.