Language:English
Tigres v Minnesota United FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tigres (Local)
Prediction 44.71%2.24fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.59%44.68%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.102.102.2050.51%47.73%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota United FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.40%3.52fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +0.928%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 3.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.11%28.49%28.41%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.233.203.6432.79%31.00%31.25%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.89%3.72fair odd
EV +0.834%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.303%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.92%26.91%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.453.7531.25%29.14%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 44.71%; Minnesota United FC (Visit): 28.40%; Draw: 26.89%. For Minnesota United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.00%EV -11.47%E -5.79%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.11%EV +3.38%E +0.928%K +1.28%G +0.043% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.89%EV -1.32%E -0.359%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.20%EV -4.77%E -2.24%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.83%EV -1.73%E -0.501%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.97%EV -4.01%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -1.85%E -0.508%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -1.85%E -0.508%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.47%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.20%E -0.889%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.64%E -0.744%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.27%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 00:52 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.00%E -3.37%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.20%EV -9.24%E -4.55%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -5.21%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV +0.834%E +0.222%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.27%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.27%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -2.98%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.05%EV -3.43%E -1.59%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 00:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -10.58%E -5.29%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -13.38%E -4.39%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |