Language:English
San Diego FC v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego FC (Local)
Prediction 53.37%1.87fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.53%53.31%53.35%54.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.721.8259.88%57.89%58.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 23.23%4.30fair odd
EV -0.116%
Edge -0.027%
Kelly -0.035%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.19%23.32%23.18%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.964.004.3027.40%25.22%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd
EV +2.49%
Edge +0.569%
Kelly +0.737%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.68%23.37%23.47%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.044.004.3827.03%24.77%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego FC (Local): 53.37%; Puebla (Visit): 23.23%; Draw: 23.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -5.53%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV +2.49%E +0.569%K +0.737%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -8.73%E -5.11%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -0.551%E -0.130%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -2.86%E -1.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.73%E -5.11%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.06%E -0.990%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -8.20%E -4.77%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -4.06%E -0.990%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.20%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.116%E -0.027%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.61%EV -5.46%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.20%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.116%E -0.027%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.61%EV -5.46%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.38%EV -3.93%E -2.18%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.61%EV -1.28%E -0.301%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -5.53%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -0.116%E -0.027%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 02:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.44%E -0.581%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 02:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -5.53%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.25%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 02:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.73%E -5.11%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.76%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -10.34%E -6.15%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -15.21%E -4.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 02:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.25%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.57%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.25%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.57%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.57%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 02:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -8.73%E -5.11%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.74%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.74%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 02:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -8.74%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.73%E -5.11%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.74%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 02:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -10.87%E -6.51%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -8.74%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -9.91%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.87%E -6.51%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.73%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.25%E -3.27%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 02:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.25%E -3.27%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.25%E -3.27%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 02:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.27%E -5.45%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.25%E -3.27%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -7.13%E -4.10%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.42%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 02:10 |