Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Salt Lake v Atlante FC

2026-08-09 02:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Salt Lake (Local)

Prediction 50.72%1.97fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -5.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%50.53%50.84%51.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.831.8757.14%54.95%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlante FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.98%4.00fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -0.992%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%24.99%24.85%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.663.703.8528.57%27.32%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.30%4.12fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.703%
Kelly -0.937%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%24.48%24.31%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.774.0029.41%27.07%26.49%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Salt Lake (Local): 50.72%; Atlante FC (Visit): 24.98%; Draw: 24.30%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -2.81%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -5.15%E -2.76%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.95%EV -5.82%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 11:29
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -6.17%E -3.33%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.82%E -0.992%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.81%E -0.703%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.17%E -3.33%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.07%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 11:30
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.17%E -3.33%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.07%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 11:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.17%E -3.33%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.32%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 12:39
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.32%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 12:44
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.06%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 11:54
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -17.39%E -5.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -17.39%E -5.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -17.39%E -5.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 12:05
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -17.39%E -5.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 12:05
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.70%E -4.83%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.07%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -9.72%E -5.46%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.61%EV -9.72%E -5.46%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -11.31%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.54%EV -10.73%E -6.10%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.56%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-06 11:29
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -11.24%E -6.42%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-06 11:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 50.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%11.4%2026-08-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-08-06 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-08-06 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-08-06 11:40