Language:English
Orlando City SC v Atlético San Luis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orlando City SC (Local)
Prediction 52.22%1.92fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.98%52.32%52.13%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.741.8559.52%57.53%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético San Luis (Visit)
Prediction 24.41%4.10fair odd
EV +3.74%
Edge +0.881%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.15%24.37%24.45%26.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.903.924.2529.41%25.63%25.48%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.37%4.28fair odd
EV +0.499%
Edge +0.116%
Kelly +0.151%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%23.31%23.42%24.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.034.054.3027.78%24.84%24.69%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando City SC (Local): 52.22%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 24.41%; Draw: 23.37%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -11.75%E -6.95%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV +3.74%E +0.881%K +1.15%G +0.043% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -0.670%E -0.158%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 22:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.27%E -7.31%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.52%E +0.600%K +0.788%G +0.020% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.57%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV +0.081%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -4.18%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16%EV -4.96%E -2.73%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.62%EV -1.87%E -0.466%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.22%EV -8.38%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 23:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.36%E -0.590%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -8.62%E -4.92%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -3.58%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -8.62%E -4.92%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -3.58%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -9.14%E -5.25%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.18%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 23:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.30%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV +0.499%E +0.116%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.46%EV -5.48%E -3.03%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.55%EV -1.60%E -0.381%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.57%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -9.14%E -5.25%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-12 23:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -9.14%E -5.25%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.66%E -5.59%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-12 23:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -9.66%E -5.59%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.19%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-12 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.96%E -2.73%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.96%E -2.73%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -3.40%E -1.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -10.02%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.19%EV -9.14%E -5.25%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -13.52%E -3.66%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.18%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -8.62%E -4.92%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.86%E -4.41%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-12 23:23 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -8.62%E -4.92%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.86%E -4.41%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-12 23:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -9.14%E -5.25%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -15.79%E -4.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -8.62%E -4.92%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -17.01%E -5.00%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -15.86%E -4.41%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -8.62%E -4.92%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -17.01%E -5.00%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -15.86%E -4.41%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-08-12 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.4% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |