Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York City FC v Santos Laguna

2026-08-06 23:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

55%

21%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York City FC (Local)

Prediction 55.16%1.81fair odd

EV -5.13%

Edge -2.98%

Kelly -7.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.78%54.92%55.00%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.661.691.691.7260.24%59.28%59.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visit)

Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd

EV -1.39%

Edge -0.301%

Kelly -0.385%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.53%21.41%21.56%22.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.004.244.304.6025.00%23.56%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.41%4.27fair odd

EV -1.70%

Edge -0.404%

Kelly -0.531%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.75%23.67%23.44%25.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.813.864.2028.57%26.23%25.91%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York City FC (Local): 55.16%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 21.44%; Draw: 23.41%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -1.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.12%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -1.70%E -0.404%K -0.531%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-02 16:35
Dabble (AU)	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.12%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-02 16:35
NordicBet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.01%EV -6.23%E -3.67%K -8.90%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV -4.60%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.72%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.01%EV -6.23%E -3.67%K -8.90%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV -4.60%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.72%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-02 16:34
1xBet	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.23%E -3.67%K -8.90%G +0.000%	4.42I 22.62%NM 21.07%EV -5.24%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%	3.86I 25.91%NM 24.13%EV -9.66%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-02 19:10
theScore Bet	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.78%E -4.01%K -9.83%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.39%E -0.301%K -0.385%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-02 16:34
FanDuel	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -6.78%E -4.01%K -9.83%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.04%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-02 16:34
SportsBet	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.89%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-02 16:35
888sport (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -18.08%E -5.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -18.08%E -5.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-08-02 17:29
William Hill	1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -18.08%E -5.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-08-02 17:35
888sport	1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -18.08%E -5.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-08-02 18:44
ReBet	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.68%EV -8.44%E -5.08%K -12.79%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-08-02 16:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.