赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Monterrey v Orlando City SC

开赛时间： 2026-08-06 00:55 UTC

最终结果： Monterrey 1–2 Orlando City SC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Monterrey (主队)

预测 36.11%2.77公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -0.925%
Kelly -1.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
34.89%36.11%36.11%36.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.93%38.46%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orlando City SC (客队)

预测 40.01%2.50公平赔率
EV -3.98%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -2.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.02%40.05%40.05%40.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.342.382.4046.51%42.79%42.02%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.88%4.19公平赔率
EV +0.294%
优势 +0.070%
Kelly +0.092%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.71%23.84%23.85%24.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.833.854.2028.17%26.10%25.97%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Monterrey (主队)：36.11%；Orlando City SC (客队)：40.01%；平局：23.88%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.19。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.20，对应+0.294%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV +0.294%E +0.070%K +0.092%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:20
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -2.50%E -0.925%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 00:18
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.78%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.92%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.50%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.92%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -5.98%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 00:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 00:45
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-06 00:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-06 00:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.98%E -4.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 00:54
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -11.53%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.98%E -5.45%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 00:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.98%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -12.84%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-06 00:30
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -13.33%E -5.56%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.11%EV -13.98%E -6.50%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-06 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -11.53%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -11.98%E -5.45%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -15.23%E -4.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-06 00:31
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.25%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-08-06 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.25%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-08-06 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.04%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%2.3%2026-08-06 00:50
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%9.8%2026-08-06 00:50