Language:English
Minnesota United FC v Atlante FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC (Local)
Prediction 40.63%2.46fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.31%40.64%40.58%42.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.282.3546.51%44.06%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlante FC (Visit)
Prediction 32.64%3.06fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.05%32.62%32.63%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.862.903.0037.74%34.96%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV +0.235%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.085%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%26.74%26.80%28.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.503.7532.26%28.93%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota United FC (Local): 40.63%; Atlante FC (Visit): 32.64%; Draw: 26.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.235%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV +0.235%E +0.063%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -1.10%E -0.298%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -1.10%E -0.298%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -5.34%E -2.29%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.76%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.33%EV -3.24%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.64%EV -4.93%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -4.68%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.52%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -2.07%E -0.690%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 00:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -5.99%E -2.08%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.62%E -4.83%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.07%E -0.690%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-12 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -5.74%E -2.48%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.95%E -2.82%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -5.74%E -2.48%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.95%E -2.82%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 00:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -6.56%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -10.62%E -4.83%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -10.62%E -4.83%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -13.50%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-12 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.52%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-12 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-12 00:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.62%E -4.83%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -12.65%E -5.88%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.99%E -2.08%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -12.65%E -5.88%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.99%E -2.08%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-12 00:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.62%E -4.83%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.13%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -17.14%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -17.14%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -17.14%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -17.14%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |