Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Inter Miami CF v León

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-12 23:30 UTC

Score final : Inter Miami CF 2–3 León

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Prévision 51.27%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.63%51.19%51.18%54.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.841.831.9157.80%54.48%54.64%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

León (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.48%4.08cote équitable
EV +2.34%
Avantage +0.561%
Kelly +0.737%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 4.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.70%24.66%24.70%28.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.623.604.1830.77%27.63%27.78%23.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.24%4.13cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.260%
Kelly +0.342%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.57%24.16%24.13%25.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.913.954.1728.57%25.60%25.35%23.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Inter Miami CF (Local) : 51.27% ; León (Visiteur) : 24.48% ; Match nul : 24.24%. Pour León (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.08. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.18, soit une espérance positive de +2.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.54%EV -10.78%E -6.20%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.70%EV +2.34%E +0.561%K +0.737%G +0.017%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.76%EV +1.08%E +0.260%K +0.342%G +0.004%5.4%2026-08-12 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.385%E +0.094%K +0.124%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.88%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 23:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -0.839%E -0.207%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -1.82%E -0.451%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -0.839%E -0.207%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -1.82%E -0.451%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 23:19
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 23:25
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 23:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 23:19
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -2.06%E -0.516%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-12 23:24
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.82%EV -5.25%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.08%EV -3.28%E -0.822%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 23:15
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.74%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:24
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -5.74%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -5.74%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 23:18
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 23:19
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-12 23:24
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 23:19
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 23:18
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.88%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-12 23:24
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -9.41%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-12 23:19
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 23:23
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 23:23
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-12 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-12 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-12 23:25
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.86%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-12 23:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-12 23:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.20%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -16.75%E -4.93%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -7.88%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 23:19
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:19
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 23:19
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -3.09%E -1.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -20.43%E -6.28%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -0.613%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 23:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-12 23:25
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-08-12 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-08-12 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-08-12 23:25