Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Dallas v Querétaro

2026-08-06 00:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Dallas (Local)

Prediction 54.23%1.84fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -6.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.29%53.84%54.16%54.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.721.731.7559.17%58.04%57.80%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Querétaro (Visit)

Prediction 21.86%4.57fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.357%
Kelly -0.460%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.23%22.06%22.01%23.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.114.204.5026.32%24.31%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.90%4.18fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%24.10%23.82%25.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.773.854.0028.57%26.54%25.97%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Dallas (Local): 54.23%; Querétaro (Visit): 21.86%; Draw: 23.90%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.50, with an expected value of -1.61%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -5.98%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:35
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -1.61%E -0.357%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 16:34
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.79%EV -6.42%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.21%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 19:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -16.34%E -4.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -16.34%E -4.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 17:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -16.34%E -4.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 18:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -16.34%E -4.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 18:44
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -4.89%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -7.97%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -4.89%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -7.97%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:34
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.54%E -3.14%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.97%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 17:39
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.26%E -4.25%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.17%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.38%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 16:34
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.35%E -2.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 16:35
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 53.79%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.17%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.55%E -3.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 53.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%13.0%2026-08-02 16:35