Language:English
FC Dallas v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Dallas (Local)
Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.04%41.09%40.79%44.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.202.202.3848.08%45.44%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 32.26%3.10fair odd
EV +0.015%
Edge +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.94%32.17%32.34%35.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.942.983.1040.00%34.04%33.56%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV +0.743%
Edge +0.198%
Kelly +0.270%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.74%26.87%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.523.7531.25%28.23%28.37%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Dallas (Local): 40.87%; Querétaro (Visit): 32.26%; Draw: 26.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.743%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.82%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.743%E +0.198%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 00:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV +0.743%E +0.198%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -0.601%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -14.99%E -7.20%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -1.94%E -0.533%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.53%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.13%EV -4.50%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -3.02%E -0.836%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -12.89%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -12.89%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -9.02%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.10%EV -9.02%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.99%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-06 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.63%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -0.953%E -0.310%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.32%EV -6.24%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.63%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -0.953%E -0.310%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.32%EV -6.24%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -14.50%E -5.47%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.99%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -5.99%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -14.50%E -5.47%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -19.34%E -7.74%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.45%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV +0.015%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.49%EV -9.20%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -14.03%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -14.03%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.28%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -14.03%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
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