Language:English
Cruz Azul v New York City FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 42.25%2.37fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.07%42.36%42.18%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.222.3048.78%45.31%45.05%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York City FC (Visit)
Prediction 31.08%3.22fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.315%
Kelly +0.455%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.16%30.96%31.14%31.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.2535.71%33.37%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.556%
Kelly +0.752%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%26.68%26.69%28.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.403.8332.26%29.15%29.41%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 42.25%; New York City FC (Visit): 31.08%; Draw: 26.67%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.530%E -0.166%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.87%EV +2.13%E +0.556%K +0.752%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -0.530%E -0.166%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.87%EV +2.13%E +0.556%K +0.752%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.78%EV -9.16%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV +1.02%E +0.315%K +0.455%G +0.005% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.60%EV +0.261%E +0.069%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.72%EV -8.32%E -3.83%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.21%EV -2.40%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.06%EV -2.94%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.94%E -2.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -2.82%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -9.16%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.94%E -2.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 23:02 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.12%EV -6.20%E -2.79%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.12%EV -6.20%E -2.79%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -5.19%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.16%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.41%E -4.00%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -4.94%E -2.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.30%E -2.81%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 23:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -12.96%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.82%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.16%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -0.530%E -0.166%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.27%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 23:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.05%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.39%E -6.53%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -8.30%E -2.81%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -2.82%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -9.16%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -4.00%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.34%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.05%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.96%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.05%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.96%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.05%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.96%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -7.05%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -12.96%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |