Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cruz Azul v New York City FC

2026-08-09 23:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cruz Azul (Local)

Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.37%41.59%41.64%42.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3547.62%45.32%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York City FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.12%3.11fair odd
EV -0.441%
Edge -0.142%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.33%32.17%32.24%34.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.842.803.1037.74%35.17%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.589%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%26.24%26.12%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.7531.25%28.55%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cruz Azul (Local): 41.65%; New York City FC (Visit): 32.12%; Draw: 26.23%. For New York City FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -0.441%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -2.12%E -0.903%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -1.62%E -0.432%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 09:20
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.93%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.62%E -0.432%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 09:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.24%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 12:04
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -0.441%E -0.142%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 12:42
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:19
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:19
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -13.29%E -4.92%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 09:20
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -13.29%E -4.92%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 09:24
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.30%EV -6.70%E -2.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -1.40%E -0.457%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.84%EV -7.39%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:14
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:15
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -14.89%E -5.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 10:59
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.91%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.33%EV -1.40%E -0.457%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.76%EV -8.70%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:19
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:18
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:19
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:20
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -16.05%E -5.02%K -7.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:15
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.29%E -4.92%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.17%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.71%15.3%2026-08-08 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.17%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.71%15.3%2026-08-08 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.17%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.71%15.3%2026-08-08 13:20
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 37.34%2.70I 37.04%NM 29.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 32.79%24.0%2026-08-08 13:19