Language:English
Columbus Crew SC v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Columbus Crew SC (Local)
Prediction 41.73%2.40fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.07%41.83%41.83%44.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.172.152.3448.31%46.08%46.51%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 31.51%3.17fair odd
EV +0.841%
Edge +0.263%
Kelly +0.382%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.30%31.38%31.54%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.2035.71%33.26%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV -0.992%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.368%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%26.79%26.63%28.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.503.7032.26%28.53%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Crew SC (Local): 41.73%; Pachuca (Visit): 31.51%; Draw: 26.76%. For Pachuca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.841%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -12.37%E -5.89%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.841%E +0.263%K +0.382%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -11.54%E -5.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -11.54%E -5.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -11.54%E -5.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -11.54%E -5.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -11.54%E -5.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -11.54%E -5.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -13.21%E -6.35%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -13.21%E -6.35%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -13.21%E -6.35%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -13.21%E -6.35%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -13.21%E -6.35%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -13.21%E -6.35%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -13.21%E -6.35%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -13.21%E -6.35%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -12.37%E -5.89%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -0.734%E -0.233%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -2.31%E -0.745%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.31%E -0.745%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.75%EV -13.62%E -6.58%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -2.31%E -0.745%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -2.33%E -0.638%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.12%EV -2.36%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -2.94%E -0.955%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -6.88%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -3.57%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -7.41%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 23:22 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.36%E -3.32%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -6.09%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.36%E -3.32%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -6.09%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -3.13%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -3.13%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.03%E -4.14%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 23:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.19%E -3.57%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-07 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -12.37%E -5.89%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |