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Columbus Crew SC v Pachuca

2026-08-07 23:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Crew SC (Local)

Prediction 43.04%2.32fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -4.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.64%42.89%42.98%43.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.102.2048.78%47.03%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pachuca (Visit)

Prediction 30.97%3.23fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.06%30.98%30.86%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.952.903.1035.09%33.91%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV +0.064%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.022%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.79%26.13%26.16%28.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.453.8532.26%29.01%28.99%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Columbus Crew SC (Local): 43.04%; Pachuca (Visit): 30.97%; Draw: 25.99%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.848. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.850, producing a positive expected value of +0.064%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -5.30%E -2.41%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV +0.064%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 12:00
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -8.75%E -4.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 11:20
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.61%E -4.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 12:24
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.61%E -4.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 12:24
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.61%E -4.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-06 11:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 12:35
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 12:44
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -6.59%E -3.04%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -4.01%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 12:39
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.16%E -2.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.56%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 11:15
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.16%E -2.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.56%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 11:15
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -9.61%E -4.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-06 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.61%E -4.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.76%E -5.74%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -11.75%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-06 11:14
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -9.61%E -4.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -19.43%E -6.27%K -9.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-06 12:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -9.61%E -4.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -19.43%E -6.27%K -9.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-06 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -9.61%E -4.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -19.43%E -6.27%K -9.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-06 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -9.61%E -4.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -19.43%E -6.27%K -9.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-06 12:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%11.3%2026-08-06 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 29.97%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.01%182.8%2026-08-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 29.97%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.01%182.8%2026-08-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-08-06 11:30