The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Columbus Crew SC v Atlas

2026-08-04 23:45 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Crew SC (Local)

Prediction 50.30%1.99fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.16%50.16%50.14%51.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.851.9255.56%54.11%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlas (Visit)

Prediction 25.65%3.90fair odd
EV +0.046%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.016%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.35%25.56%25.79%26.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.653.9029.41%27.67%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -0.950%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.74%24.29%24.08%25.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.793.854.0029.41%26.40%25.97%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Columbus Crew SC (Local): 50.30%; Atlas (Visit): 25.65%; Draw: 24.05%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.898. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.900, producing a positive expected value of +0.046%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.80%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:34
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -8.46%E -4.65%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -2.52%E -0.663%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -8.46%E -4.65%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -2.52%E -0.663%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:34
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.22%EV -5.34%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.61%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -6.45%E -3.47%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 20:10
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -6.45%E -3.47%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 20:14
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 18:35
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 18:33
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:09
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:10
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:09
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:10
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:09
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:15
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:14
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:15
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:14
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -3.43%E -1.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.80%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 16:35
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.46%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 20:10
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 16:34
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 19:19
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.61%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 16:35
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -18.23%E -5.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -18.23%E -5.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 17:29
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -18.23%E -5.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -18.23%E -5.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%11.4%2026-08-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 40.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 37.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 21.47%39.0%2026-08-02 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 40.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 37.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 21.47%39.0%2026-08-02 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 40.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 37.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 21.47%39.0%2026-08-02 20:20