Language:English
Columbus Crew SC v Atlas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Columbus Crew SC (Local)
Prediction 41.22%2.43fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.38%41.35%41.30%44.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3547.62%45.65%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlas (Visit)
Prediction 30.36%3.29fair odd
EV +3.24%
Edge +0.952%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%30.25%30.28%31.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.193.253.4035.09%31.39%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.42%3.52fair odd
EV -0.530%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.14%28.40%28.42%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.5033.33%30.71%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Crew SC (Local): 41.22%; Atlas (Visit): 30.36%; Draw: 28.42%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -13.45%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV +3.24%E +0.952%K +1.35%G +0.044% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +1.72%E +0.513%K +0.731%G +0.013% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -0.711%E -0.217%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -8.77%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -1.32%E -0.406%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -1.32%E -0.406%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -2.84%E -0.886%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.84%E -0.886%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.530%E -0.151%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.84%E -0.886%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -10.15%E -4.66%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.29%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -4.96%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -2.23%E -0.650%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.38%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -10.43%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.46%E -4.72%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.56% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
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