The School of Odds
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Charlotte FC v Pumas

2026-08-05 00:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte FC (Local)

Prediction 43.75%2.29fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.99%43.73%43.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.152.2048.78%47.01%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pumas (Visit)

Prediction 31.56%3.17fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.75%31.50%31.57%32.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.963.003.0034.72%33.73%33.33%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.70%4.05fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.93%24.77%24.65%26.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.703.9029.41%27.13%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Charlotte FC (Local): 43.75%; Pumas (Visit): 31.56%; Draw: 24.70%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.90, with an expected value of -3.69%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -3.76%E -1.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.91%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:35
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.69%E -0.945%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 16:34
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:35
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:33
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:10
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:10
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:09
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:10
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:09
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:15
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:14
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:14
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:15
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:14
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.78%EV -7.54%E -2.57%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.90%EV -7.64%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 19:10
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.91%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 16:35
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.41%EV -6.38%E -2.98%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -6.91%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 20:09
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -7.26%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -5.96%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -7.26%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -5.96%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 16:34
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.91%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.69%E -0.945%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:34
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.16%EV -9.01%E -4.33%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.48%E -2.93%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 16:35
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.48%E -2.93%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 20:10
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -16.04%E -4.72%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -16.04%E -4.72%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 17:29
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -16.04%E -4.72%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -16.04%E -4.72%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 43.62%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%11.3%2026-08-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-02 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-02 20:20