Language:English
Charlotte FC v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Charlotte FC (Local)
Prediction 45.21%2.21fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%45.54%45.04%49.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.892.1553.19%51.24%52.91%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV +7.77%
Edge +2.16%
Kelly +2.99%
Growth +0.232%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.01%29.62%30.09%32.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.343.553.6035.71%29.92%28.17%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.41%24.83%24.87%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.853.9028.57%26.46%25.97%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte FC (Local): 45.21%; Pachuca (Visit): 29.94%; Draw: 24.86%. For Pachuca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -13.66%E -7.15%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV +7.77%E +2.16%K +2.99%G +0.232% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -14.56%E -7.70%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -14.56%E -7.70%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -15.01%E -7.99%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV +6.27%E +1.77%K +2.46%G +0.154% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.54%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -11.85%E -6.08%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -11.85%E -6.08%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -5.97%E -2.87%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -5.97%E -2.87%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -9.27%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -13.00%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -5.07%E -2.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.05%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 00:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -2.81%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.51%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -9.59%E -4.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -13.00%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.33%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -14.68%E -5.15%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -3.05%E -0.783%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -9.59%E -4.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.54%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 1.6% | 2026-08-12 00:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 00:50 |