Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte FC v Atlas

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 23:30 UTC

Final: Charlotte FC 2–0 Atlas

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte FC (Local)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.06%43.31%43.15%47.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.082.102.2250.76%47.97%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlas (Visit)

Prediction 28.50%3.51fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +0.727%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.12%28.37%28.53%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.363.333.6032.79%29.79%29.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd
EV -0.726%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.290%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%28.32%28.32%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.00%29.81%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte FC (Local): 43.13%; Atlas (Visit): 28.50%; Draw: 28.36%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV +2.62%E +0.727%K +1.01%G +0.026%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:15
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:15
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:15
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:15
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:15
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:20
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +1.19%E +0.335%K +0.467%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -15.03%E -7.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.235%E -0.067%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -2.52%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.48%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 23:20
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.09%E -0.907%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:14
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.09%E -0.907%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.52%EV -4.80%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.52%EV -4.80%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:25
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -5.08%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -5.55%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 23:22
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 23:25
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -10.29%E -4.95%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 23:25
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 23:25
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 23:15
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.97%E -2.74%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 23:15
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -11.58%E -5.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 23:15
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -11.58%E -5.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -11.58%E -5.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 23:25
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.726%E -0.207%K -0.290%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 23:15
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 23:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 23:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 23:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -13.06%E -4.28%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-08-07 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-08-07 23:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-08-07 23:25