Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte FC v Atlas

2026-08-07 23:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte FC (Local)

Prediction 43.87%2.28fair odd
EV -5.69%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.95%43.80%43.91%44.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.082.1550.00%47.89%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlas (Visit)

Prediction 30.71%3.26fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%30.71%30.74%31.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.962.953.1035.09%33.78%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.42%3.93fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.550%
Kelly -0.742%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.49%25.35%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.553.8530.30%28.20%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Charlotte FC (Local): 43.87%; Atlas (Visit): 30.71%; Draw: 25.42%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -2.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.12%E -0.550%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 10:59
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 10:59
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 11:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.69%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 12:05
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -6.13%E -2.86%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 11:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 11:00
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.88%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 11:38
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -8.76%E -4.21%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 10:59
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-06 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-06 11:39
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.10%E -4.88%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-06 11:44
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.10%E -4.88%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-06 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.10%E -4.88%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-06 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.10%E -4.88%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-06 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -12.27%E -6.13%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-06 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 43.44%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.23%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%11.7%2026-08-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 27.82%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.09%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.09%174.4%2026-08-06 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 27.82%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.09%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.09%174.4%2026-08-06 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 27.82%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.09%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.09%174.4%2026-08-06 12:45