Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin FC v Puebla

2026-08-10 01:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin FC (Local)

Prediction 52.26%1.91fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.29%52.17%52.37%52.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.771.8258.82%56.73%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Puebla (Visit)

Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.603%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%23.34%23.40%24.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.933.904.2027.03%25.47%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.39%4.10fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -0.807%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%24.49%24.22%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.774.0028.57%26.78%26.49%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Austin FC (Local): 52.26%; Puebla (Visit): 23.35%; Draw: 24.39%. For Puebla (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.93%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -2.42%E -0.605%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 09:15
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -1.93%E -0.460%K -0.603%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 09:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 09:50
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 12:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.10%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.76%EV -6.46%E -3.61%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.09%EV -4.50%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.15%EV -4.62%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 12:30
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.43%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:15
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.43%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:15
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 09:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 11:30
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.55%EV -3.56%E -0.863%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 11:15
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:19
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 09:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 09:20
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -9.08%E -5.22%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.46%EV -9.08%E -5.22%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 10:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -10.12%E -5.88%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 09:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%11.2%2026-08-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 38.95%1.06I 94.34%NM 48.13%3.95I 25.32%NM 12.92%96.0%2026-08-08 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 38.95%1.06I 94.34%NM 48.13%3.95I 25.32%NM 12.92%96.0%2026-08-08 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 38.59%1.04I 96.15%NM 48.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 12.80%97.8%2026-08-08 12:25