Language:English
Austin FC v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Austin FC (Local)
Prediction 59.78%1.67fair odd
EV +8.79%
Edge +4.83%
Kelly +10.72%
Growth +0.943%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.93%59.56%59.89%61.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.571.8266.67%64.02%63.69%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 17.93%5.58fair odd
EV +0.402%
Edge +0.072%
Kelly +0.087%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.64%18.16%17.81%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.954.805.6029.41%20.19%20.83%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.30%4.49fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.559%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.08%22.29%22.30%23.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.204.254.4026.32%23.82%23.53%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austin FC (Local): 59.78%; Puebla (Visit): 17.93%; Draw: 22.30%. For Austin FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV +8.79%E +4.83%K +10.72%G +0.943% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -39.04%E -11.48%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -5.25%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -1.37%E -0.830%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -22.91%E -5.33%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.59%E -2.10%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-10 00:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.64%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.33%EV -0.674%E -0.122%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV -7.03%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-10 00:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -4.36%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -5.87%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-10 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.99%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.03%EV +0.402%E +0.072%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -7.48%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.99%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.03%EV +0.402%E +0.072%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -7.48%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 00:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -1.39%E -0.253%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 00:51 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -14.84%E -3.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.25%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -5.55%E -3.52%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.39%E -0.253%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-10 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -5.55%E -3.52%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -5.55%E -3.52%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.50%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.15%EV -0.674%E -0.122%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -5.25%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 00:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.04%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -7.67%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.25%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.04%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -7.67%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.25%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 00:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.59%E -2.10%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-10 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.33%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -14.84%E -3.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.05%E -3.35%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-10 00:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-10 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-10 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-10 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.54%E -5.58%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-10 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -9.14%E -6.01%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-10 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -9.74%E -6.45%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.98%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -9.74%E -6.45%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -10.34%E -6.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -5.87%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -3.46%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 00:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -10.34%E -6.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -1.39%E -0.253%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.59%E -2.10%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-10 00:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.34%E -6.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -5.87%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-10 00:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.34%E -6.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.36%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-10 00:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.34%E -6.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.36%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-10 00:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -10.34%E -6.89%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -17.53%E -3.81%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -8.59%E -2.10%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-10 00:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-10 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-08-10 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-08-10 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-08-10 00:55 |