Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

América v Portland Timbers

2026-08-10 02:15 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

América (Local)

Prediction 44.18%2.26fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.76%44.17%44.17%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.082.1850.00%48.10%48.19%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Timbers (Visit)

Prediction 30.59%3.27fair odd
EV +0.935%
Edge +0.283%
Kelly +0.407%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.67%30.59%30.59%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.992.953.3035.09%33.47%33.90%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.23%3.96fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.678%
Kelly -0.915%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.02%25.24%25.24%26.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.603.8629.41%27.62%27.78%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: América (Local): 44.18%; Portland Timbers (Visit): 30.59%; Draw: 25.23%. For Portland Timbers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.30, producing a positive expected value of +0.935%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV +0.935%E +0.283%K +0.407%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 12:42
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -2.87%E -0.745%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 11:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.13%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 11:49
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 12:54
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.91%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 12:04
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 11:34
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.15%EV -6.77%E -3.21%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:04
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 12:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 12:54
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:49
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.41%EV -3.68%E -1.69%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.52%EV -2.62%E -0.678%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:00
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -7.91%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 12:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 12:40
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.65%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 13:02
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -4.13%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 12:55
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.22%E -4.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.22%E -4.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.22%E -4.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:39
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.22%E -4.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -11.63%E -5.82%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -12.83%E -4.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%10.8%2026-08-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 23.48%1.77I 56.50%NM 28.66%1.06I 94.34%NM 47.86%97.1%2026-08-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 23.48%1.77I 56.50%NM 28.66%1.06I 94.34%NM 47.86%97.1%2026-08-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 19.17%1.04I 96.15%NM 39.82%1.01I 99.01%NM 41.00%141.5%2026-08-08 12:50