Language:English
Zhejiang v Wuhan Three Towns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zhejiang (Local)
Prediction 56.12%1.78fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.74%56.00%56.11%57.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.631.7265.36%60.94%61.35%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wuhan Three Towns (Visit)
Prediction 21.68%4.61fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.10%21.79%21.75%22.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.234.304.4026.32%23.62%23.26%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.674%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.95%22.21%22.14%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.104.104.4026.32%24.39%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 56.12%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 21.68%; Draw: 22.21%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -2.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.48%E -2.02%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.02%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.17%EV -3.85%E -0.888%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -4.60%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -4.60%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -4.60%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -4.60%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.73%E -3.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.73%E -3.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.89%EV -7.22%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.36%EV -6.95%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.85%E -4.13%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -8.53%E -5.23%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -8.53%E -5.23%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -8.53%E -5.23%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -8.53%E -5.23%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -8.53%E -5.23%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -8.53%E -5.23%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -8.53%E -5.23%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -9.09%E -5.61%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.09%E -5.61%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.61%E -4.11%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.59%EV -9.65%E -6.00%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -10.22%E -6.38%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -2.29%E -0.521%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.91%EV -11.34%E -7.18%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.91%EV -11.34%E -7.18%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 06:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.02%EV -14.14%E -9.24%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -17.62%E -4.64%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-08 10:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.70% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 11:15 |
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