The School of Odds
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Zhejiang v Shanghai SIPG FC

2026-10-09 12:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 35.41%2.82fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.96%35.46%35.55%36.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.7041.67%39.16%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)

Prediction 40.84%2.45fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.22%40.80%40.84%42.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.252.3250.00%45.03%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.75%4.21fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.63%23.74%23.61%24.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.904.0027.78%25.96%25.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Zhejiang (Local): 35.41%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 40.84%; Draw: 23.75%. For Zhejiang (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -4.40%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.25%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.10%EV -6.66%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 16:25
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.53%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 15:50
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.00%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.22%EV -6.88%E -3.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.12%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 15:35
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.00%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.22%EV -6.88%E -3.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.12%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 15:34
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.67%EV -8.65%E -3.35%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.73%EV -7.70%E -3.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-02 15:35
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-02 15:34
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-02 15:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.15%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-02 15:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.15%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-02 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.15%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-02 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.15%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-02 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.45%EV -18.32%E -9.16%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-02 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.69%EV -13.25%E -5.41%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.67%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.63%EV -12.12%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-02 15:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%EV -15.02%E -6.26%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -14.23%E -6.78%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -14.50%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-02 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-02 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-02 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-02 18:15