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Zhejiang v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zhejiang (Local)
assuming max odds 1.44
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)
assuming max odds 6.50
Draw
assuming max odds 4.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 65.04%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 14.86%; Draw: 20.10%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.50, with an expected value of -3.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.42%E -0.526%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 04:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.85%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-09 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.85%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-09 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.85%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-09 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.85%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-09 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -7.13%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 20:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -7.13%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -4.50%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-10 17:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.65%E -5.39%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.42%E -0.526%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 04:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.95%E -6.39%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.85%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-11 08:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.95%E -6.39%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.85%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.95%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-11 10:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 10:35 |
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