The School of Odds

Zhejiang v Qingdao Hainiu FC

2026-07-11 11:00 — Super League - China

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Zhejiang (Local)

1.4867.57%Min
1.5763.69%Mean
1.5863.49%Median
1.6460.98%Max
56.91%1.757Min
59.85%1.671Max
58.64%1.705Mean
58.55%1.708Median
58.60%1.707IQM
58.72%1.703Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.64 under the IQM model: 58.60%

EV -3.90%Edge -2.38%Kelly -6.10%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)

4.1024.39%Min
4.6621.47%Mean
4.7021.28%Median
5.0020.00%Max
18.79%5.321Min
20.80%4.808Max
19.56%5.112Mean
19.67%5.084Median
19.64%5.093IQM
19.50%5.128Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.00 under the IQM model: 19.64%

EV -1.82%Edge -0.364%Kelly -0.455%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.9525.32%Min
4.1923.88%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
4.4022.73%Max
20.85%4.795Min
23.05%4.339Max
21.80%4.588Mean
21.78%4.591Median
21.77%4.594IQM
21.78%4.591Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 21.77%

EV -4.22%Edge -0.959%Kelly -1.24%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerZhejiang (Local) ▼Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.22%EV -3.90% E -2.38% K -6.10% G +0.000%4.84I 20.66% NM 19.73%EV -4.96% E -1.03% K -1.29% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 22.05%EV -5.74% E -1.33% K -1.72% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:59
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 56.91%EV -5.07% E -3.13% K -8.19% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -9.68% E -2.10% K -2.69% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.05%EV -12.93% E -3.23% K -4.31% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 14:00
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11% NM 58.52%EV -5.66% E -3.52% K -9.28% G +0.000%4.79I 20.88% NM 19.67%EV -5.94% E -1.24% K -1.57% G +0.000%4.32I 23.15% NM 21.81%EV -5.96% E -1.38% K -1.80% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 13:55
888sport1.61I 62.11% NM 57.06%EV -5.66% E -3.52% K -9.28% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.97%EV -9.68% E -2.10% K -2.69% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.97%EV -12.93% E -3.23% K -4.31% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 13:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 57.06%EV -5.66% E -3.52% K -9.28% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.97%EV -9.68% E -2.10% K -2.69% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.97%EV -12.93% E -3.23% K -4.31% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 57.06%EV -5.66% E -3.52% K -9.28% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.97%EV -9.68% E -2.10% K -2.69% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.97%EV -12.93% E -3.23% K -4.31% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50% NM 58.09%EV -6.25% E -3.90% K -10.41% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.78%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.13%EV -8.57% E -2.04% K -2.68% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 13:50
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50% NM 58.09%EV -6.25% E -3.90% K -10.41% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.78%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.13%EV -8.57% E -2.04% K -2.68% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 13:50
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89% NM 58.25%EV -6.83% E -4.30% K -11.58% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.70%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.05%EV -8.57% E -2.04% K -2.68% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 13:54
Coolbet1.58I 63.29% NM 59.70%EV -7.42% E -4.70% K -12.79% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.86%EV -1.82% E -0.364% K -0.455% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.44%EV -4.22% E -0.959% K -1.24% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:04
NordicBet1.58I 63.29% NM 58.67%EV -7.42% E -4.70% K -12.79% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.52%EV -6.73% E -1.42% K -1.79% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.81%EV -7.48% E -1.76% K -2.30% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 13:50
Betsson1.58I 63.29% NM 58.67%EV -7.42% E -4.70% K -12.79% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.52%EV -6.73% E -1.42% K -1.79% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.81%EV -7.48% E -1.76% K -2.30% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 13:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.85%EV -8.00% E -5.10% K -14.04% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.79%EV -1.82% E -0.364% K -0.455% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.36%EV -4.22% E -0.959% K -1.24% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 13:50
FanDuel1.57I 63.69% NM 59.85%EV -8.00% E -5.10% K -14.04% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.79%EV -1.82% E -0.364% K -0.455% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.36%EV -4.22% E -0.959% K -1.24% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 13:49
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69% NM 58.31%EV -8.00% E -5.10% K -14.04% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.90%EV -9.68% E -2.10% K -2.69% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.80%EV -8.57% E -2.04% K -2.68% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 13:50
Bet Right1.56I 64.10% NM 58.83%EV -8.59% E -5.51% K -15.34% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.32%EV -6.73% E -1.42% K -1.79% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.85%EV -8.57% E -2.04% K -2.68% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52% NM 59.20%EV -9.18% E -5.92% K -16.68% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.95%EV -9.68% E -2.10% K -2.69% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.85%EV -4.22% E -0.959% K -1.24% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52% NM 58.98%EV -9.18% E -5.92% K -16.68% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.25%EV -6.73% E -1.42% K -1.79% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.77%EV -8.57% E -2.04% K -2.68% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 13:50
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52% NM 58.49%EV -9.18% E -5.92% K -16.68% G +0.000%4.55I 21.98% NM 19.93%EV -10.66% E -2.34% K -3.00% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.59%EV -8.57% E -2.04% K -2.68% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-05 13:54
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36% NM 59.30%EV -10.35% E -6.76% K -19.53% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.10%EV -6.73% E -1.42% K -1.79% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.60%EV -8.57% E -2.04% K -2.68% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79% NM 58.30%EV -10.93% E -7.19% K -21.03% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 20.61%EV -15.57% E -3.62% K -4.72% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.10%EV -8.57% E -2.04% K -2.68% G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-05 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67% NM 58.28%EV -12.11% E -8.07% K -24.21% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 19.87%EV -13.60% E -3.09% K -4.00% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.85%EV -12.93% E -3.23% K -4.31% G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-05 13:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67% NM 58.09%EV -12.11% E -8.07% K -24.21% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.12%EV -14.98% E -3.46% K -4.50% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.78%EV -12.93% E -3.23% K -4.31% G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-05 11:04
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57% NM 57.61%EV -13.28% E -8.97% K -27.66% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 20.80%EV -19.49% E -4.75% K -6.29% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 21.59%EV -14.02% E -3.55% K -4.75% G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-05 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerZhejiang (Local)Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%4.80I 20.83%3.55I 28.17%10.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%4.80I 20.83%3.55I 28.17%10.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%4.80I 20.83%3.55I 28.17%10.4%2026-07-05 14:10