Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang v Dalian Yingbo

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 12:00 UTC

Final: Zhejiang 3–2 Dalian Yingbo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 43.26%2.31fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.37%43.63%43.22%47.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.082.102.2553.19%48.03%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visit)

Prediction 31.61%3.16fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +0.839%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.13%31.41%31.57%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.992.953.2537.04%33.48%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV +0.526%
Edge +0.132%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.98%24.96%25.21%26.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.704.0028.57%26.92%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 43.26%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 31.61%; Draw: 25.13%. For Dalian Yingbo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -16.08%E -8.29%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV +2.73%E +0.839%K +1.21%G +0.033%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -3.24%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -16.51%E -8.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV +2.73%E +0.839%K +1.21%G +0.033%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.24%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -16.51%E -8.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV +2.73%E +0.839%K +1.21%G +0.033%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.24%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -16.51%E -8.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV +2.73%E +0.839%K +1.21%G +0.033%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.24%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -16.51%E -8.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV +2.73%E +0.839%K +1.21%G +0.033%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.24%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 18:49
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -16.51%E -8.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV +2.73%E +0.839%K +1.21%G +0.033%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.24%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 18:49
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -16.51%E -8.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV +2.73%E +0.839%K +1.21%G +0.033%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.24%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 19:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -17.37%E -9.10%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV +2.73%E +0.839%K +1.21%G +0.033%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -3.24%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -18.67%E -9.93%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV +1.15%E +0.358%K +0.521%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -18.67%E -9.93%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV +1.15%E +0.358%K +0.521%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 18:49
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -1.70%E -0.546%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.02%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -2.67%E -1.18%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.86%EV -4.54%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.38%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.37%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.37%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:55
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.37%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -7.01%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 11:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 11:55
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.01%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:54
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.01%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:54
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.32%E -5.52%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:44
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 11:55
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV +0.526%E +0.132%K +0.175%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-26 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -11.32%E -5.52%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -7.42%E -3.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -7.07%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -7.52%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 11:55
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.70%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 11:55
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.70%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -1.99%E -0.509%K -0.685%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 11:55
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:55
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:55
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:55
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -11.32%E -5.52%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -3.24%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -11.32%E -5.52%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.34%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:50
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.32%E -5.52%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.97%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV +0.526%E +0.132%K +0.175%G +0.001%8.5%2026-07-26 11:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -8.97%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -8.97%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:55
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 11:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.50%E -4.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 11:56
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.50%E -4.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.50%E -4.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 11:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.50%E -4.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.32%E -5.52%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -13.08%E -4.76%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.11%EV -17.37%E -9.10%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.91%EV -14.66%E -5.43%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-07-26 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-07-26 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-07-26 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-07-26 11:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-07-26 11:55