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Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Prediction 53.14%1.88fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -5.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.93%53.22%53.11%55.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.731.741.8063.29%57.72%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)
Prediction 23.33%4.29fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.480%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.17%23.27%23.37%24.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.953.994.2227.03%25.31%25.06%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.53%4.25fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.364%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%23.51%23.52%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.74%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 53.14%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 23.33%; Draw: 23.53%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 09:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.74%EV -1.55%E -0.366%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.64%EV -4.46%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.92%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.92%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 11:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.92%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 09:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.52%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.75%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.18%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.00%EV -4.46%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.16%E -0.277%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.58%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.36%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.84%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.36%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.84%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 08:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 11:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 11:23 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.18%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -7.05%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.58%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.58%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.93%E -3.49%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.93%E -3.49%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 09:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.18%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 11:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -9.14%E -5.34%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -3.18%E -0.766%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV -3.75%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.15%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.13%EV -7.14%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -4.69%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -13.68%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.58%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-17 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.55%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -7.84%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.58%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-17 08:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-17 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -12.86%E -7.84%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.18%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.93%E -3.49%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-17 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -12.86%E -7.84%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.18%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.93%E -3.49%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-17 08:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -13.92%E -8.59%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-17 11:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.59%EV -16.04%E -10.15%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.89%EV -13.68%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.52%EV -15.28%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-10-17 11:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 11:15 |