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Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wuhan Three Towns (Local)
Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +0.791%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.54%26.90%26.72%31.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.453.453.8534.48%29.00%28.99%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)
Prediction 51.70%1.93fair odd
EV -0.744%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.92%51.70%51.73%55.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.781.801.9260.61%56.29%55.56%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.54%4.64fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.333%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.93%21.40%21.55%23.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.244.204.7025.64%23.61%23.81%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 26.77%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 51.70%; Draw: 21.54%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV +3.05%E +0.791%K +1.07%G +0.033% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.99%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV +3.05%E +0.791%K +1.07%G +0.033% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.99%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV +3.05%E +0.791%K +1.07%G +0.033% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.99%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV +1.71%E +0.450%K +0.610%G +0.010% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -11.60%E -6.78%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -0.921%E -0.200%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +1.71%E +0.450%K +0.610%G +0.010% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -12.63%E -7.48%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +1.23%E +0.262%K +0.333%G +0.004% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 09:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.50%E -4.80%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.08%E -0.683%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -11.08%E -6.44%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -13.67%E -8.18%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -13.67%E -8.18%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.11%EV -5.52%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.84%EV -0.744%E -0.388%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.06%EV -10.61%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.02%EV -6.05%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%EV -6.43%E -3.55%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.57%EV -0.706%E -0.153%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -8.50%E -4.80%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -3.08%E -0.683%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 09:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 09:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 09:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.38%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 09:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -7.46%E -4.17%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 09:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -8.50%E -4.80%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.46%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.46%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -10.05%E -5.78%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.46%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -10.61%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.46%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -10.61%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -11.08%E -6.44%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 09:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.53%E -5.45%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 09:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.40%EV -12.12%E -7.13%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.12%EV -14.92%E -3.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-18 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.40%EV -12.12%E -7.13%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.12%EV -14.92%E -3.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.70%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -7.38%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 09:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -15.69%E -4.98%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -7.98%E -4.48%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.22%EV -17.03%E -5.49%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.14%EV -14.70%E -8.91%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.64%EV -16.00%E -4.10%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.45%EV -19.70%E -6.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.21%EV -12.12%E -7.13%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-10-18 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -22.38%E -7.72%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -1.78%E -0.936%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 09:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40% | 3.0% | 2026-10-18 09:55 |