The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 07:30 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 3–5 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.329%
Kelly -0.442%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.77%25.30%25.28%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.653.643.9032.26%27.39%27.47%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)

Prediction 53.41%1.87fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.12%53.35%53.34%55.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.721.731.8564.10%57.98%57.80%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.28%4.70fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.56%21.36%21.37%22.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.264.204.6225.64%23.49%23.81%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 25.31%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 53.41%; Draw: 21.28%. For Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -1.28%E -0.329%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -7.07%E -4.07%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -4.23%E -0.940%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
1xBet🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.07%EV -1.53%E -0.394%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.08%EV -9.21%E -5.42%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.85%EV -4.44%E -0.990%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 07:20
GTbets🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 25.05%EV -3.31%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.45%EV -4.40%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.50%EV -5.29%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 07:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -7.07%E -4.07%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -2.10%E -0.457%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 07:25
picklebet_au🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -10.81%E -6.47%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 07:25
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -10.81%E -6.47%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 07:23
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -11.88%E -7.20%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 07:25
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.23%E -0.940%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 07:24
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 07:20
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 07:20
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 07:20
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -6.01%E -3.41%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 07:20
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -10.28%E -6.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -12.74%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 07:25
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -6.36%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 07:10
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.23%E -0.940%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 07:25
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -8.68%E -5.07%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.23%E -0.940%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 07:14
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.21%EV -8.14%E -4.73%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -11.68%E -2.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 07:25
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.21%EV -8.14%E -4.73%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -11.68%E -2.81%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.47%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.74%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 07:10
BetUS🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.35%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.56%EV -1.68%E -0.363%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.31%EV -7.86%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.26%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 07:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.94%E -2.77%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.23%E -0.940%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 07:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.23%E -0.940%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 07:20
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -4.23%E -0.940%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 07:25
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:25
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:25
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:24
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.55%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 07:25
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 07:10
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.27%EV -8.14%E -4.73%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -15.94%E -4.03%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.21%E -5.42%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 07:25
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.21%E -5.42%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.87%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -9.21%E -5.42%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -15.94%E -4.03%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 07:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -10.14%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.21%E -5.42%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Pinnacle🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.43%EV -1.20%E -0.649%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.29%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 07:15
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.81%E -6.47%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.81%E -6.47%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -7.85%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -10.28%E -6.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.62%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.63%EV -11.35%E -6.84%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -17.00%E -4.36%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-24 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.63%EV -11.35%E -6.84%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -17.00%E -4.36%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-24 07:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.28%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 54.47%EV -16.69%E -10.70%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.25%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-24 07:25
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.53%E -6.95%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -10.81%E -6.47%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-24 07:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.35%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-10-24 07:25
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.35%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-10-24 07:25
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-10-24 07:15