The School of Odds

Wuhan Three Towns v Henan FC

2026-07-11 11:00 — Super League - China

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

2.7037.04%Min
2.9833.57%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.1331.95%Max
29.60%3.378Min
31.93%3.132Max
30.52%3.276Mean
30.46%3.283Median
30.45%3.284IQM
30.59%3.269Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.13 under the IQM model: 30.45%

EV -4.68%Edge -1.50%Kelly -2.20%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Henan FC (Visit)

2.0050.00%Min
2.1746.00%Mean
2.2045.45%Median
2.2644.25%Max
41.49%2.410Min
42.60%2.348Max
42.09%2.376Mean
42.22%2.368Median
42.19%2.370IQM
42.10%2.375Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.26 under the IQM model: 42.19%

EV -4.66%Edge -2.06%Kelly -3.70%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.1032.26%Min
3.3629.77%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.6027.78%Max
26.27%3.806Min
28.68%3.487Max
27.39%3.651Mean
27.32%3.660Median
27.36%3.655IQM
27.31%3.662Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 27.36%

EV -1.50%Edge -0.417%Kelly -0.578%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWuhan Three Towns (Local) ▼Henan FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.13I 31.95% NM 30.49%EV -4.68% E -1.50% K -2.20% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 42.23%EV -4.66% E -2.06% K -3.70% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.27%EV -4.24% E -1.21% K -1.70% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 11:10
GTbets3.11I 32.15% NM 30.30%EV -5.29% E -1.70% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.07%EV -5.50% E -2.46% K -4.44% G +0.000%3.41I 29.33% NM 27.63%EV -6.70% E -1.96% K -2.78% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 00:05
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26% NM 29.60%EV -5.59% E -1.80% K -2.66% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.72%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.68%EV -12.45% E -3.89% K -5.66% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 09:50
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36% NM 30.66%EV -5.90% E -1.91% K -2.82% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.11%EV -5.08% E -2.26% K -4.07% G +0.000%3.48I 28.74% NM 27.23%EV -4.78% E -1.37% K -1.93% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 11:10
DraftKings3.05I 32.79% NM 30.46%EV -7.12% E -2.33% K -3.47% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.22%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.32%EV -6.97% E -2.05% K -2.91% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 03:39
NordicBet3.05I 32.79% NM 30.22%EV -7.12% E -2.33% K -3.47% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.27%EV -8.03% E -3.69% K -6.81% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.51%EV -8.34% E -2.49% K -3.55% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Betsson3.05I 32.79% NM 30.22%EV -7.12% E -2.33% K -3.47% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.27%EV -8.03% E -3.69% K -6.81% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.51%EV -8.34% E -2.49% K -3.55% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89% NM 30.47%EV -7.42% E -2.44% K -3.64% G +0.000%2.19I 45.66% NM 42.29%EV -7.61% E -3.48% K -6.40% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.24%EV -6.97% E -2.05% K -2.91% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 11:04
Coolbet3.00I 33.33% NM 31.58%EV -8.64% E -2.88% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.11%EV -5.08% E -2.26% K -4.07% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.32%EV -1.50% E -0.417% K -0.578% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:50
SportsBet3.00I 33.33% NM 31.05%EV -8.64% E -2.88% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.34%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.61%EV -4.24% E -1.21% K -1.70% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 12:50
FanDuel3.00I 33.33% NM 31.05%EV -8.64% E -2.88% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.34%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.61%EV -4.24% E -1.21% K -1.70% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33% NM 31.05%EV -8.64% E -2.88% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.34%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.61%EV -4.24% E -1.21% K -1.70% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 13:45
888sport3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -8.64% E -2.88% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -11.08% E -3.41% K -4.92% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:45
William Hill3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -8.64% E -2.88% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -11.08% E -3.41% K -4.92% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:45
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -8.64% E -2.88% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -11.08% E -3.41% K -4.92% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:45
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -8.64% E -2.88% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -11.08% E -3.41% K -4.92% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:45
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.26%EV -8.64% E -2.88% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.23%EV -9.30% E -4.33% K -8.09% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.51%EV -9.71% E -2.94% K -4.22% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 12:00
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90% NM 30.74%EV -10.16% E -3.44% K -5.21% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.18%EV -9.30% E -4.33% K -8.09% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.07%EV -8.34% E -2.49% K -3.55% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Bet Right2.90I 34.48% NM 31.66%EV -11.69% E -4.03% K -6.15% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.73%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.61%EV -5.61% E -1.62% K -2.29% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 12:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48% NM 30.11%EV -11.69% E -4.03% K -6.15% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 42.60%EV -13.52% E -6.59% K -12.87% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.29%EV -12.45% E -3.89% K -5.66% G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 11:55
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72% NM 31.93%EV -12.29% E -4.27% K -6.54% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.80%EV -7.19% E -3.27% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.27%EV -4.24% E -1.21% K -1.70% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 12:50
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72% NM 31.38%EV -12.29% E -4.27% K -6.54% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.04%EV -9.30% E -4.33% K -8.09% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.58%EV -6.97% E -2.05% K -2.91% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09% NM 30.61%EV -13.21% E -4.63% K -7.14% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 42.55%EV -13.52% E -6.59% K -12.87% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.84%EV -11.08% E -3.41% K -4.92% G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-04 12:10
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71% NM 30.98%EV -14.73% E -5.26% K -8.18% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 42.32%EV -13.52% E -6.59% K -12.87% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.69%EV -11.08% E -3.41% K -4.92% G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-04 12:45
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04% NM 31.05%EV -17.78% E -6.58% K -10.46% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 41.91%EV -15.63% E -7.81% K -15.63% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.04%EV -15.18% E -4.90% K -7.23% G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-04 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth