Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wuhan Three Towns v Henan FC

Início: 2026-09-12 11:35 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Henan FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Previsão 35.30%2.83odd justa
EV +0.599%
Vantagem +0.210%
Kelly +0.324%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.69%35.16%35.33%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.642.622.8541.67%37.83%38.17%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Henan FC (Visitante)

Previsão 38.69%2.58odd justa
EV -4.83%
Vantagem -1.96%
Kelly -3.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.07%38.81%38.64%40.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.352.382.4646.51%42.54%42.02%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.02%3.84odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -0.652%
Kelly -0.889%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.91%26.03%26.04%27.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.523.503.7530.30%28.41%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 35.30%; Henan FC (Visitante): 38.69%; Empate: 26.02%. Para Wuhan Three Towns (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.83. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.599%.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:24
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:24
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:24
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -2.93%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 11:40
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -2.93%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 01:25
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.25%EV -4.34%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.99%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.75%EV -3.48%E -0.939%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.98%EV -4.34%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.33%EV -6.76%E -2.81%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.69%EV -4.00%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.84%EV -15.66%E -7.18%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.40%E -2.02%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.40%E -2.02%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 14:35
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -6.11%E -2.30%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -4.83%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -16.82%E -7.82%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-08 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -16.82%E -7.82%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-08 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 20:40
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.96%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 12:29
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.96%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 12:30
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 09:15
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 09:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 11:38
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 07:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 12:04
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 21:55
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 11:39
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 11:40
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.48%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -9.99%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -9.99%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 21:55
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.99%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.35%EV -9.99%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.52%EV -9.47%E -4.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 12:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.76%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.76%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.76%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 12:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -13.52%E -5.52%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -15.29%E -6.37%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-09 10:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-09-09 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.77%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%9.2%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.77%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%9.2%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.77%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%9.2%2026-09-09 17:10