Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wuhan Three Towns v Henan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 11:35 UTC

Score final : Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Henan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Prévision 35.30%2.83cote équitable
EV +0.599%
Avantage +0.210%
Kelly +0.324%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.69%35.16%35.33%36.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.642.622.8541.67%37.83%38.17%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Henan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.69%2.58cote équitable
EV -4.83%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.07%38.81%38.64%40.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.352.382.4646.51%42.54%42.02%40.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.02%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.652%
Kelly -0.889%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.91%26.03%26.04%27.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.523.503.7530.30%28.41%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wuhan Three Towns (Local) : 35.30% ; Henan FC (Visiteur) : 38.69% ; Match nul : 26.02%. Pour Wuhan Three Towns (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.83. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.85, soit une espérance positive de +0.599%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:24
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:24
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:24
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV +0.599%E +0.210%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -11.79%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -2.93%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 11:40
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -2.93%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 01:25
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.25%EV -4.34%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.99%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.75%EV -3.48%E -0.939%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.98%EV -4.34%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.33%EV -6.76%E -2.81%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.69%EV -4.00%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.84%EV -15.66%E -7.18%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.40%E -2.02%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.40%E -2.02%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 14:35
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -6.11%E -2.30%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -4.83%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -16.82%E -7.82%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-08 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -16.82%E -7.82%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-08 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 20:40
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.96%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 12:29
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.96%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 12:30
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 09:15
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 09:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 11:38
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 07:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 12:04
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 21:55
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 11:39
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 11:40
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -8.23%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.48%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -9.99%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -9.99%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 21:55
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.99%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.35%EV -9.99%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.52%EV -9.47%E -4.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 12:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.76%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.76%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.76%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 12:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -13.52%E -5.52%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -15.29%E -6.37%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-09 10:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-09-09 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.77%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%9.2%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.77%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%9.2%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.77%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%9.2%2026-09-09 17:10