La escuela de los momios

Wuhan Three Towns v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Inicio: 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Predicción 13.96%7.17momio equitativo
EV +1.18%
Ventaja +0.162%
Kelly +0.188%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.87%13.91%14.06%15.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.546.507.2518.18%15.28%15.38%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)

Predicción 66.45%1.50momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -4.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.11%66.43%66.37%67.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.391.401.4775.76%71.75%71.43%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.60%5.10momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.401%
Kelly -0.501%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.15%19.66%19.57%22.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.594.605.0026.67%21.80%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV +1.18%E +0.162%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.90%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 11:45
Marathon Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 12.87%EV +0.479%E +0.067%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.63%EV -8.97%E -6.55%K -24.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.90%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Pinnacle7.09I 14.10%NM 13.49%EV -1.06%E -0.149%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.88%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV -4.55%E -0.935%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 11:54
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.31%E -0.330%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.90%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 11:35
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.31%E -0.330%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:54
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.31%E -0.330%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:54
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.31%E -0.330%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:54
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.31%E -0.330%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:54
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.31%E -0.330%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -8.31%E -6.02%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -9.84%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 11:44
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -2.31%E -0.330%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.90%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 11:28
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.31%E -0.330%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.84%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 11:44
1xBet6.99I 14.31%NM 13.39%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.31%E -6.02%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.76%EV -2.20%E -0.441%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 11:54
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.88%EV -5.10%E -0.750%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.46%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -5.92%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:34
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.88%EV -5.10%E -0.750%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.46%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -5.92%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:35
GTbets6.79I 14.73%NM 14.21%EV -5.24%E -0.772%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.62%EV -2.33%E -1.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.18%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 11:44
Bovada6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -5.80%E -0.859%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.90%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 11:53
BetUS6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -5.80%E -0.859%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.90%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 11:54
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.92%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 11:44
NordicBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.06%EV -8.31%E -6.02%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -2.98%E -0.603%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 11:49
Betsson6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.06%EV -8.31%E -6.02%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -2.98%E -0.603%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 11:49
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.84%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 11:29
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.84%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 11:30
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.80%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 11:29
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -8.97%E -6.55%K -24.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -5.92%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:49
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -15.72%E -3.66%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 11:54
Neds6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -9.84%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -9.84%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 11:49
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 05:40
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 05:40
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 05:40
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 05:40
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 05:39
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 05:39
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 05:39
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 05:40
Codere (IT)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -8.97%E -6.55%K -24.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 11:54
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.84%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -6.31%E -4.48%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.76%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-13 05:39
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -14.87%E -2.44%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.46%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -14.74%E -3.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-13 05:39
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -14.87%E -2.44%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.46%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -14.74%E -3.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-13 05:40
Unibet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -14.87%E -2.44%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.52%EV -12.29%E -9.31%K -38.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -9.84%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 11:50
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.00%E -0.401%K -0.501%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 11:49
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.80%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 11:29
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.63%E -8.74%K -35.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -11.80%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 11:30
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.39%EV -20.45%E -3.59%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.95%EV -11.63%E -8.74%K -35.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -7.88%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -23.25%E -4.23%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.11%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -26.50%E -7.07%K -9.64%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-17 11:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-04-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-04-17 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-04-17 11:50
Matchbook7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-04-17 11:49
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.62%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64%2.0%2026-04-17 11:54