Language:English
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)
Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.669%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.76%28.75%30.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.233.303.4134.48%30.95%30.30%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)
Prediction 43.78%2.28fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.23%43.84%43.85%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.082.052.2451.02%47.96%48.78%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.37%3.65fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.12%27.40%27.41%29.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.383.6031.75%29.77%29.59%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 28.85%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 43.78%; Draw: 27.37%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -1.61%E -0.473%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.33%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -7.49%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -1.90%E -0.559%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -3.34%E -0.998%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.79%EV -3.63%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -8.51%E -4.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.79%EV -8.58%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.23%EV -1.94%E -0.866%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.23%EV -1.94%E -0.866%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.23%EV -1.94%E -0.866%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -14.20%E -7.24%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -14.20%E -7.24%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV -5.94%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.07%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.23%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.23%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -13.78%E -4.38%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 11:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.67%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.11%E -2.89%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -3.69%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.11%E -2.89%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.98%E -3.20%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 11:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.07%EV -10.27%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.29%EV -5.44%E -2.52%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -6.32%E -2.95%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -5.88%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.07%E -3.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.44%E -4.48%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.45%E -6.22%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -16.33%E -5.63%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -10.26%E -5.00%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |