The School of Odds

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

2026-07-12 11:00 — Super League - China

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

2.1047.62%Min
2.2843.84%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.4041.67%Max
39.45%2.535Min
41.04%2.437Max
40.22%2.486Mean
40.13%2.492Median
40.15%2.491IQM
40.25%2.484Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 40.15%

EV -3.64%Edge -1.52%Kelly -2.60%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)

2.6038.46%Min
2.8834.76%Mean
2.9034.48%Median
3.0133.22%Max
31.20%3.205Min
32.67%3.061Max
31.77%3.147Mean
31.91%3.134Median
31.81%3.144IQM
31.80%3.145Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.01 under the IQM model: 31.81%

EV -4.26%Edge -1.41%Kelly -2.12%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.0532.79%Min
3.2930.42%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.5028.57%Max
26.76%3.737Min
29.27%3.417Max
28.00%3.571Mean
27.97%3.576Median
28.04%3.566IQM
27.95%3.578Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.04%

EV -1.85%Edge -0.529%Kelly -0.740%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local) ▼Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.40I 41.67% NM 39.78%EV -3.64% E -1.52% K -2.60% G +0.000%3.01I 33.22% NM 31.72%EV -4.26% E -1.41% K -2.12% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.50%EV -6.06% E -1.81% K -2.58% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 14:04
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84% NM 39.67%EV -4.04% E -1.69% K -2.91% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.60%EV -4.58% E -1.53% K -2.29% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.73%EV -7.46% E -2.26% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:25
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92% NM 39.76%EV -6.45% E -2.77% K -4.85% G +0.000%2.92I 34.25% NM 31.73%EV -7.12% E -2.44% K -3.71% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.51%EV -8.86% E -2.73% K -3.94% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 14:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48% NM 41.04%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 32.00%EV -6.17% E -2.09% K -3.16% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -1.85% E -0.529% K -0.740% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 11:54
SportsBet2.30I 43.48% NM 40.81%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.37%EV -7.76% E -2.67% K -4.08% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.82%EV -1.85% E -0.529% K -0.740% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 11:55
FanDuel2.30I 43.48% NM 40.81%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.37%EV -7.76% E -2.67% K -4.08% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.82%EV -1.85% E -0.529% K -0.740% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 32.52%EV -8.39% E -2.91% K -4.46% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.76%EV -1.85% E -0.529% K -0.740% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 13:45
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.07%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 32.00%EV -8.39% E -2.91% K -4.46% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.93%EV -7.46% E -2.26% K -3.24% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 11:20
NordicBet2.30I 43.48% NM 40.07%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 32.00%EV -8.39% E -2.91% K -4.46% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.93%EV -7.46% E -2.26% K -3.24% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 11:20
Betsson2.30I 43.48% NM 40.07%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 32.00%EV -8.39% E -2.91% K -4.46% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.93%EV -7.46% E -2.26% K -3.24% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 11:20
888sport2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.29%EV -7.76% E -2.67% K -4.08% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.27%EV -13.07% E -4.22% K -6.22% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 11:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.29%EV -7.76% E -2.67% K -4.08% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.27%EV -13.07% E -4.22% K -6.22% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 11:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.29%EV -7.76% E -2.67% K -4.08% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.27%EV -13.07% E -4.22% K -6.22% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 11:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -7.66% E -3.33% K -5.89% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.29%EV -7.76% E -2.67% K -4.08% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.27%EV -13.07% E -4.22% K -6.22% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 11:55
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44% NM 40.93%EV -9.66% E -4.30% K -7.73% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 31.98%EV -8.39% E -2.91% K -4.46% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.09%EV -4.65% E -1.37% K -1.94% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 11:54
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44% NM 40.91%EV -9.66% E -4.30% K -7.73% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.20%EV -6.17% E -2.09% K -3.16% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.89%EV -7.46% E -2.26% K -3.24% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 13:00
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44% NM 40.46%EV -9.66% E -4.30% K -7.73% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 31.95%EV -9.35% E -3.28% K -5.05% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.59%EV -7.46% E -2.26% K -3.24% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:15
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45% NM 40.78%EV -11.67% E -5.31% K -9.73% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.04%EV -10.94% E -3.91% K -6.08% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.18%EV -7.46% E -2.26% K -3.24% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51% NM 40.27%EV -13.68% E -6.36% K -11.89% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 32.67%EV -15.71% E -5.93% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.06%EV -10.26% E -3.21% K -4.67% G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-05 11:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 40.06%EV -15.69% E -7.47% K -14.26% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 32.36%EV -17.30% E -6.65% K -10.81% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 27.58%EV -14.47% E -4.74% K -7.06% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-05 11:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth