L’École des cotes

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 07:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Prévision 52.15%1.92cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -3.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.89%52.24%52.05%55.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.741.751.8663.29%57.48%57.14%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.42%4.27cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +0.694%
Kelly +0.898%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.87%23.23%23.54%25.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.554.034.004.4028.17%24.83%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.42%4.09cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.600%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.67%24.53%24.41%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.733.804.0231.25%26.83%26.32%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +3.05%E +0.694%K +0.898%G +0.027%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 07:14
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -10.82%E -6.33%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +0.710%E +0.165%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.03%EV -13.42%E -8.09%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV +0.710%E +0.165%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 04:15
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -0.461%E -0.108%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 07:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.17%EV -14.99%E -9.20%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -0.461%E -0.108%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-03 04:15
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.17%EV -14.99%E -9.20%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -0.461%E -0.108%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-03 04:15
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 07:21
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 07:20
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.30%EV -9.25%E -5.32%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 07:25
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -9.77%E -5.65%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 07:25
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.49%EV -5.85%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.46%EV -9.38%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 07:24
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.22%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.24%EV -5.85%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -14.02%E -3.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 07:24
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 07:25
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 07:24
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -11.34%E -6.67%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 07:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -21.84%E -6.83%K -9.93%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-07 07:19
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.88%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -7.25%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.88%EV -1.81%E -0.451%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 07:25
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.73%EV -7.69%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 07:24
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 07:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.74%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 07:25
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.74%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 07:24
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -14.51%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 07:24
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -14.51%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 07:24
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.51%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.51%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 07:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 07:24
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 07:19
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -7.69%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 07:20
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.34%EV -14.99%E -9.20%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.73%EV -15.73%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-07 07:25
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 07:24
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 52.67%EV -17.60%E -11.14%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.84%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.73%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 07:19
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 07:24
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.50%EV -9.25%E -5.32%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.75%EV -16.86%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.75%EV -13.29%E -3.74%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 07:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-03-07 07:25
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-07 07:25