La escuela de los momios

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Inicio: 2026-03-07 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Predicción 52.15%1.92momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -3.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.89%52.24%52.05%55.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.741.751.8663.29%57.48%57.14%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)

Predicción 23.42%4.27momio equitativo
EV +3.05%
Ventaja +0.694%
Kelly +0.898%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.87%23.23%23.54%25.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.554.034.004.4028.17%24.83%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.42%4.09momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -0.451%
Kelly -0.600%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.67%24.53%24.41%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.733.804.0231.25%26.83%26.32%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +3.05%E +0.694%K +0.898%G +0.027%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 07:14
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV +1.88%E +0.433%K +0.562%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 04:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -10.82%E -6.33%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +0.710%E +0.165%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.03%EV -13.42%E -8.09%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV +0.710%E +0.165%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 04:15
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -0.461%E -0.108%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 07:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.17%EV -14.99%E -9.20%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -0.461%E -0.108%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-03 04:15
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.17%EV -14.99%E -9.20%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -0.461%E -0.108%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-03 04:15
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 07:21
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 07:20
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.30%EV -9.25%E -5.32%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 07:25
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -9.77%E -5.65%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 07:25
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.49%EV -5.85%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.46%EV -9.38%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 07:24
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.22%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.24%EV -5.85%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -14.02%E -3.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 07:24
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 07:25
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 07:24
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -11.34%E -6.67%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 07:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -21.84%E -6.83%K -9.93%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-07 07:19
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.88%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -7.25%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.88%EV -1.81%E -0.451%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 07:25
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.73%EV -7.69%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 07:24
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 07:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.74%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 07:25
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.74%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 07:24
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -14.51%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 07:24
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -14.51%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 07:24
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.51%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.51%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 07:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -12.90%E -7.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 07:24
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 07:19
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -7.69%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 07:20
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.34%EV -14.99%E -9.20%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.73%EV -15.73%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-07 07:25
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 07:24
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 52.67%EV -17.60%E -11.14%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.84%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.73%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 07:19
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 07:24
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.50%EV -9.25%E -5.32%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.75%EV -16.86%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.75%EV -13.29%E -3.74%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 07:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-03-07 07:25
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-03-07 07:25