La escuela de los momios

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Inicio: 2026-04-05 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Predicción 48.72%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -3.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.96%48.67%48.77%49.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.911.911.9855.87%52.46%52.36%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante)

Predicción 24.23%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.665%
Ventaja -0.162%
Kelly -0.215%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.05%24.31%24.17%26.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.743.704.1028.99%26.76%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.727%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.23%27.02%27.06%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.52%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -9.15%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 10:00
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 47.50%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.19%EV -10.19%E -3.07%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 10:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:00
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 10:19
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 10:19
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 10:20
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 10:20
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.44%EV -5.48%E -2.83%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.62%EV -1.63%E -0.403%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -3.70%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 10:55
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -5.48%E -2.83%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 10:20
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -0.665%E -0.162%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 10:55
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -0.665%E -0.162%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 10:55
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -0.665%E -0.162%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.62%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 10:20
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -16.41%E -4.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -16.41%E -4.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 10:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.94%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.30%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 10:19
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.94%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 10:39
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.94%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 10:19
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.94%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -7.45%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:55
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.94%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 10:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.94%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 10:19
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.94%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 10:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 10:40
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:20
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:19
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -9.15%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 10:55
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 10:00
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.92%E -4.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.59%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 10:55
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.51%EV -7.92%E -4.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 10:20
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.87%E -5.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:28
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.87%E -5.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 10:49
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.87%E -5.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.87%E -5.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 10:19
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.87%E -5.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -10.84%E -5.92%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.85%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-05 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -11.33%E -6.22%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 10:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.30%E -6.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 10:19
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.99%EV -12.79%E -7.15%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.57%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-05 10:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-05 10:50
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-04-05 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-05 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-05 10:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-04-05 10:00