Language:English
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Prediction 35.60%2.81fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%35.72%35.62%38.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.542.602.7543.10%39.31%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)
Prediction 36.31%2.75fair odd
EV -0.144%
Edge -0.052%
Kelly -0.082%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%36.13%36.30%37.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.342.572.562.7542.74%38.90%38.99%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.88%28.15%28.08%29.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.253.4234.72%30.79%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 35.60%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 36.31%; Draw: 28.09%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.754. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.750, with an expected value of -0.144%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.10%E -0.764%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -3.78%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.10%E -0.764%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -3.78%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 04:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -2.81%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.36%EV -3.78%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -2.81%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.36%EV -3.78%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 04:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -3.88%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.45%EV -8.50%E -3.37%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -3.94%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.54%EV -4.24%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.35%EV -4.50%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.21%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.30%EV -5.95%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 04:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 06:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 06:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 04:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.73%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 06:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.73%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.73%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.73%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.73%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.53%EV -7.08%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 04:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 20:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 04:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 04:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.58%E -5.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-12 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.58%E -5.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-12 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.15%E -3.16%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.32%E -2.45%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.15%E -3.16%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.32%E -2.45%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.22%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.22%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.22%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 04:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.85%E -5.36%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -12.78%E -5.22%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -12.85%E -5.36%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.30%EV -12.78%E -5.22%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.80%EV -14.67%E -6.24%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.18%EV -12.78%E -5.22%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 36.83%EV -15.03%E -6.42%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 27.98%EV -13.49%E -4.38%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -14.56%E -6.07%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -13.58%E -5.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -14.56%E -6.07%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.37%EV -14.67%E -6.24%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02%EV -14.33%E -4.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-14 06:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -15.27%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -0.144%E -0.052%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -15.27%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -0.144%E -0.052%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -15.27%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -0.144%E -0.052%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -15.27%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -0.144%E -0.052%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -15.27%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -0.144%E -0.052%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -15.27%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -0.144%E -0.052%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -15.27%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -0.144%E -0.052%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -15.27%E -6.42%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -0.144%E -0.052%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 09:13 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -16.34%E -6.95%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -0.144%E -0.052%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.70%EV -17.41%E -7.50%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -1.96%E -0.726%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.70%EV -17.41%E -7.50%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25%EV -1.96%E -0.726%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 06:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.12% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.12% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.12% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 04:55 |