Language:English
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV -0.079%
Edge -0.021%
Kelly -0.028%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%26.00%25.80%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.503.8531.25%28.27%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)
Prediction 49.27%2.03fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.25%49.21%49.39%50.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.881.881.9557.14%53.29%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.77%4.04fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.03%24.79%24.82%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.683.703.8832.26%27.19%27.03%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 25.95%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 49.27%; Draw: 24.77%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.853. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.850, with an expected value of -0.079%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -0.079%E -0.021%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.87%E -3.64%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.33%EV -2.16%E -0.572%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.90%E -2.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.53%EV -2.42%E -0.642%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.90%E -2.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -3.88%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -9.83%E -5.37%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.63%EV -6.87%E -3.64%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -5.39%E -2.81%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.07%EV -6.86%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.38%E -3.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 01:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.38%E -3.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.36%E -3.92%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 04:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.36%E -3.92%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 04:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.83%E -5.37%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.04%EV -7.86%E -4.20%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 04:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.32%E -5.67%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 10:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.36%E -3.92%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 02:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.36%E -3.92%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 02:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.86%E -4.20%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 22:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 22:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -9.34%E -5.07%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-06 04:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -9.34%E -5.07%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-06 04:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.36%E -3.92%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 00:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.35%E -4.49%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 02:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%EV -11.80%E -6.59%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.32%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-10 02:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -13.77%E -7.87%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -5.39%E -2.81%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -15.65%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -11.31%E -6.28%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 02:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -16.95%E -5.30%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -9.83%E -5.37%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -23.20%E -7.49%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.02% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98% | 0.0% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.26% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |