The School of Odds

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 11:35 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 3–0 Qingdao West Coast FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Prediction 45.58%2.19fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.736%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.68%45.45%45.57%46.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.912.062.052.2352%48%49%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 28.92%3.46fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.324%
Kelly -0.458%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.30%28.98%28.94%31.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.883.163.153.4235%32%32%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.51%3.92fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.810%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.18%25.58%25.49%27.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.543.503.8030%28%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV +1.64%E +0.736%K +1.33%G +0.022%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 10:54
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV +1.64%E +0.736%K +1.33%G +0.022%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV +1.64%E +0.736%K +1.33%G +0.022%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 10:54
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV +1.64%E +0.736%K +1.33%G +0.022%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 10:54
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV +1.64%E +0.736%K +1.33%G +0.022%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 10:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV +1.64%E +0.736%K +1.33%G +0.022%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 10:54
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV +1.64%E +0.736%K +1.33%G +0.022%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -0.638%E -0.293%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -14.70%E -4.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 10:54
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -2.01%E -0.933%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -14.56%E -4.34%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 10:54
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -2.01%E -0.933%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -14.56%E -4.34%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 10:55
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.92%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 11:24
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -10.47%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:19
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:19
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:19
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -6.11%E -2.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.09%EV -1.11%E -0.324%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -3.08%E -0.810%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 11:25
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.11%E -2.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:29
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:19
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 11:19
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 11:14
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 11:14
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.81%E -3.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 11:20
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.92%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:29
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.92%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:19
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 11:29
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.48%EV -7.02%E -3.44%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.48%EV -7.02%E -3.44%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 11:29
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -7.48%E -3.68%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 11:25
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.92%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:24
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 11:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:14
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.84%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -9.78%E -3.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:24
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 11:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:19
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:19
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -9.30%E -4.67%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 11:28
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -9.75%E -4.93%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-11 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.21%E -5.18%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 11:19
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 11:29
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 11:29
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.94%E -6.78%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.72%E -5.81%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-11 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-07-11 11:29
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-07-11 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-07-11 11:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-07-11 11:29
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-07-11 11:29