The School of Odds

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

2026-07-11 11:35 — Super League - China

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Odds
2.1546.51%Min
2.3642.40%Mean
2.3742.28%Median
2.4940.16%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.78%2.647Min
40.10%2.494Max
38.65%2.587Mean
38.42%2.603Median
38.54%2.595IQM
38.68%2.585Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.49 under the IQM model: 38.54%

EV -4.04%Edge -1.62%Kelly -2.71%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Odds
2.4540.82%Min
2.7036.97%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.8535.09%Max
Consensus probabilities
32.90%3.040Min
34.83%2.871Max
33.46%2.989Mean
33.47%2.988Median
33.48%2.987IQM
33.48%2.987Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.85 under the IQM model: 33.48%

EV -4.59%Edge -1.61%Kelly -2.48%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.3230.12%Mean
3.3429.94%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.35%3.794Min
29.25%3.419Max
27.89%3.585Mean
28.11%3.558Median
27.98%3.573IQM
27.84%3.592Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.98%

EV -2.06%Edge -0.588%Kelly -0.823%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerShenzhen Peng City FC (Local) ▼Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.49I 40.16% NM 38.31%EV -4.04% E -1.62% K -2.71% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 33.47%EV -4.59% E -1.61% K -2.48% G +0.000%3.38I 29.59% NM 28.22%EV -5.41% E -1.60% K -2.27% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 13:20
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32% NM 38.26%EV -4.42% E -1.78% K -2.99% G +0.000%2.84I 35.21% NM 33.41%EV -4.93% E -1.73% K -2.68% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.33%EV -6.25% E -1.87% K -2.66% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 13:30
GTbets2.47I 40.49% NM 38.20%EV -4.81% E -1.95% K -3.27% G +0.000%2.82I 35.46% NM 33.46%EV -5.60% E -1.98% K -3.07% G +0.000%3.33I 30.03% NM 28.34%EV -6.81% E -2.05% K -2.92% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 00:05
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32% NM 38.29%EV -6.73% E -2.78% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.77I 36.10% NM 33.45%EV -7.27% E -2.62% K -4.11% G +0.000%3.28I 30.49% NM 28.25%EV -8.21% E -2.50% K -3.60% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 13:15
Coolbet2.40I 41.67% NM 39.33%EV -7.50% E -3.13% K -5.36% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.71%EV -6.27% E -2.24% K -3.48% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -2.06% E -0.588% K -0.823% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:52
Betsson2.40I 41.67% NM 38.48%EV -7.50% E -3.13% K -5.36% G +0.000%2.72I 36.76% NM 33.95%EV -8.94% E -3.29% K -5.20% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.57%EV -6.25% E -1.87% K -2.66% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 10:50
NordicBet2.40I 41.67% NM 38.48%EV -7.50% E -3.13% K -5.36% G +0.000%2.72I 36.76% NM 33.95%EV -8.94% E -3.29% K -5.20% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.57%EV -6.25% E -1.87% K -2.66% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 10:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67% NM 38.30%EV -7.50% E -3.13% K -5.36% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.42%EV -7.94% E -2.89% K -4.54% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.28%EV -9.05% E -2.79% K -4.02% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 03:39
888sport2.40I 41.67% NM 37.78%EV -7.50% E -3.13% K -5.36% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 32.97%EV -7.94% E -2.89% K -4.54% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.25%EV -13.25% E -4.27% K -6.31% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 13:15
William Hill2.40I 41.67% NM 37.78%EV -7.50% E -3.13% K -5.36% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 32.97%EV -7.94% E -2.89% K -4.54% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.25%EV -13.25% E -4.27% K -6.31% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 13:15
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02% NM 38.34%EV -8.28% E -3.48% K -6.00% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.83%EV -12.29% E -4.69% K -7.59% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.84%EV -4.85% E -1.43% K -2.02% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:55
SportsBet2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -9.43% E -4.01% K -6.99% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -7.94% E -2.89% K -4.54% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -2.06% E -0.588% K -0.823% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -9.43% E -4.01% K -6.99% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -7.94% E -2.89% K -4.54% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -2.06% E -0.588% K -0.823% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:55
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 39.19%EV -9.43% E -4.01% K -6.99% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.90%EV -6.27% E -2.24% K -3.48% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.91%EV -7.65% E -2.32% K -3.33% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 11:50
Bet Right2.35I 42.55% NM 39.04%EV -9.43% E -4.01% K -6.99% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 33.98%EV -9.61% E -3.56% K -5.66% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.98%EV -4.85% E -1.43% K -2.02% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 12:55
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55% NM 38.48%EV -9.43% E -4.01% K -6.99% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 34.12%EV -11.29% E -4.26% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.40%EV -7.65% E -2.32% K -3.33% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-05 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.10%EV -11.36% E -4.94% K -8.74% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.54%EV -7.94% E -2.89% K -4.54% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV -2.06% E -0.588% K -0.823% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 13:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48% NM 39.15%EV -11.36% E -4.94% K -8.74% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.37%EV -12.29% E -4.69% K -7.59% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.48%EV -4.85% E -1.43% K -2.02% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44% NM 38.93%EV -13.29% E -5.90% K -10.63% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 33.69%EV -12.96% E -4.99% K -8.10% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.37%EV -10.45% E -3.27% K -4.75% G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-05 10:49
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44% NM 38.84%EV -13.29% E -5.90% K -10.63% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 34.27%EV -14.63% E -5.74% K -9.44% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.89%EV -9.05% E -2.79% K -4.02% G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-05 10:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44% NM 38.42%EV -13.29% E -5.90% K -10.63% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.57%EV -16.31% E -6.52% K -10.87% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.01%EV -10.45% E -3.27% K -4.75% G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-04 12:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 38.89%EV -17.14% E -7.97% K -14.90% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 34.13%EV -17.98% E -7.34% K -12.40% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 26.97%EV -13.25% E -4.27% K -6.31% G +0.000%19.6%2026-07-05 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth