Language:English
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Henan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Prediction 31.56%3.17fair odd
EV +4.16%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.05%31.36%31.55%32.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.982.903.3037.04%33.59%34.48%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Henan FC (Visit)
Prediction 42.19%2.37fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.23%42.39%42.15%45.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.142.182.2551.81%46.80%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.25%3.81fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.25%26.29%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.7030.30%28.63%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 31.56%; Henan FC (Visit): 42.19%; Draw: 26.25%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV +4.16%E +1.26%K +1.81%G +0.075% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.51%E -6.59%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV +4.16%E +1.26%K +1.81%G +0.075% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.51%E -6.59%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV +4.16%E +1.26%K +1.81%G +0.075% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.51%E -6.59%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV +4.16%E +1.26%K +1.81%G +0.075% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.51%E -6.59%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV +4.16%E +1.26%K +1.81%G +0.075% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.51%E -6.59%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV +4.16%E +1.26%K +1.81%G +0.075% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.51%E -6.59%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV +1.01%E +0.314%K +0.457%G +0.005% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -16.88%E -8.57%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-04 12:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -0.573%E -0.182%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -17.73%E -9.09%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -2.15%E -0.694%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.30%EV -18.57%E -9.62%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-04 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -2.15%E -0.694%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.30%EV -18.57%E -9.62%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-04 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.09%EV -3.10%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.61%EV -5.49%E -2.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.30%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 10:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -3.73%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.34%E -2.85%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.45%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -3.73%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.34%E -2.85%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.45%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.18%EV -4.04%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -5.92%E -2.65%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.40%E -5.43%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -6.57%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.16%EV -5.49%E -2.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.94%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.09%EV -6.57%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.61%EV -8.87%E -4.11%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.89%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.07%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.89%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 09:06 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.89%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.89%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.89%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -2.89%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 14:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 15:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -8.02%E -3.68%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.04%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.62%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 09:03 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.62%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.55%EV -8.87%E -4.11%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.20%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.40%E -5.43%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.20%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.51%E -6.59%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-05 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.13%EV -13.20%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 43.68%EV -17.31%E -8.83%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -14.78%E -5.47%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.40%E -5.43%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.45%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.54% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 42.03% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 42.03% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 15.93% | 87.3% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 42.03% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 42.03% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 15.93% | 87.3% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 42.03% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 42.03% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 15.93% | 87.3% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |