La escuela de los momios

Shanghai SIPG FC v Yunnan Yukun

Inicio: 2026-04-04 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Predicción 51.94%1.93momio equitativo
EV -4.94%
Ventaja -2.70%
Kelly -5.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.52%51.95%52.12%53.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.90%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Predicción 25.09%3.99momio equitativo
EV +0.349%
Ventaja +0.087%
Kelly +0.116%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.45%25.09%25.00%26.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.723.754.0030.77%26.89%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.97%4.35momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.561%
Kelly -0.734%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.02%22.96%22.88%24.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.973.954.2529.41%25.21%25.32%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.349%E +0.087%K +0.116%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:29
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -1.41%E -0.358%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 11:30
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -10.66%E -6.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -2.16%E -0.554%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:30
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.59%EV -7.02%E -3.92%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 11:30
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.07%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.53%EV -4.22%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.887%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:20
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -8.58%E -4.87%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.12%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.27%EV -8.59%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:29
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 11:29
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 11:29
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.23%EV -7.02%E -3.92%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -5.42%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -6.52%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 11:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.92%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:19
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.18%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.39%E -0.561%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:30
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:29
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:29
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.54%E -4.24%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.06%E -4.55%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.10%E -5.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 11:29
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 11:00
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.94%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.28%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:29
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.80%EV -13.25%E -7.94%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -12.19%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.95%EV -21.91%E -6.44%K -9.13%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-04 11:29
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -7.54%E -4.24%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -13.45%E -3.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:29
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.84%EV -12.73%E -7.58%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -13.45%E -3.90%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.92%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 11:29
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -9.62%E -5.53%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.21%E -5.22%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 11:29
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 50.75%EV -11.69%E -6.88%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -18.47%E -5.68%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-04-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-04-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-04-04 11:30
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-04-04 11:19
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 52.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.9%2026-04-04 11:29