Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai SIPG FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prévision 56.46%1.77cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -5.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.29%56.55%56.58%59.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.631.7066.67%61.99%61.35%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.22%4.95cote équitable
EV +6.15%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.41%20.13%20.11%22.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.654.605.2525.00%21.52%21.74%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.32%4.29cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -0.774%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.38%23.32%23.32%26.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.954.004.1530.30%25.32%25.00%24.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shanghai SIPG FC (Local) : 56.46% ; Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur) : 20.22% ; Match nul : 23.32%. Pour Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.95. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.25, soit une espérance positive de +6.15%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:34
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -13.62%E -8.90%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV +5.14%E +0.989%K +1.22%G +0.063%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -14.75%E -9.77%K -28.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV +5.14%E +0.989%K +1.22%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.31%E -10.21%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +3.12%E +0.612%K +0.761%G +0.024%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.31%E -10.21%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +3.12%E +0.612%K +0.761%G +0.024%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 19:34
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.87%EV -5.15%E -3.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.94%EV -3.15%E -0.657%K -0.830%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.19%EV -3.91%E -0.949%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:55
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.21%E -0.774%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:14
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.21%E -0.774%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:05
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.21%E -0.774%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.98%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:40
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:03
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:19
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -6.28%E -3.78%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:19
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:59
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.02%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.87%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.02%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.87%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:04
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -4.02%E -2.37%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.39%EV -10.43%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.88%EV -3.44%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 08:29
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:04
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:04
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.31%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -13.05%E -3.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.23%EV -11.36%E -7.24%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -13.05%E -3.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 15:09
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -11.36%E -7.24%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -15.08%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -15.08%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -23.03%E -6.98%K -10.02%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.54%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -17.10%E -4.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -19.12%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.71%E -3.70%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -19.12%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.71%E -3.70%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.37%EV -11.93%E -7.65%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -19.12%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 15:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%2.4%2026-04-24 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%2.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%2.7%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%2.7%2026-04-24 00:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 57.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.09%3.9%2026-04-24 00:45