La escuela de los momios

Shanghai SIPG FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Inicio: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Predicción 56.46%1.77momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -5.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.29%56.55%56.58%59.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.631.7066.67%61.99%61.35%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante)

Predicción 20.22%4.95momio equitativo
EV +6.15%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.089%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.41%20.13%20.11%22.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.654.605.2525.00%21.52%21.74%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.32%4.29momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -0.774%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.38%23.32%23.32%26.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.954.004.1530.30%25.32%25.00%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:34
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -13.06%E -8.48%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +6.15%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.089%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 19:34
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -13.62%E -8.90%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV +5.14%E +0.989%K +1.22%G +0.063%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -14.75%E -9.77%K -28.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV +5.14%E +0.989%K +1.22%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.31%E -10.21%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +3.12%E +0.612%K +0.761%G +0.024%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 19:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.31%E -10.21%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +3.12%E +0.612%K +0.761%G +0.024%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 19:34
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.87%EV -5.15%E -3.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.94%EV -3.15%E -0.657%K -0.830%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.19%EV -3.91%E -0.949%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:55
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:19
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 15:20
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.21%E -0.774%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:14
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.21%E -0.774%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.21%E -0.774%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:04
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:09
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:09
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:09
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.98%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:03
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:19
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -9.10%E -5.65%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:43
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:04
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -6.28%E -3.78%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:19
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:59
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.02%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.87%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:04
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -6.85%E -4.15%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.02%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.87%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:04
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -4.02%E -2.37%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.39%EV -10.43%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.88%EV -3.44%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 08:29
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:04
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:04
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:05
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.31%EV -7.97%E -4.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -13.05%E -3.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.23%EV -11.36%E -7.24%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -13.05%E -3.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 15:09
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -11.36%E -7.24%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -15.08%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -8.54%E -5.27%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -15.08%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -23.03%E -6.98%K -10.02%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.54%EV -9.67%E -6.04%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -17.10%E -4.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -19.12%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.71%E -3.70%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -5.72%E -3.42%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -19.12%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.71%E -3.70%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.37%EV -11.93%E -7.65%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -19.12%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 15:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%2.4%2026-04-24 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%2.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%2.7%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%2.7%2026-04-24 00:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 57.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.09%3.9%2026-04-24 00:45