L’École des cotes

Shanghai SIPG FC v Henan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prévision 43.77%2.28cote équitable
EV +1.55%
Avantage +0.669%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.12%44.04%43.81%52.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.662.052.092.3260.24%48.80%47.85%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Henan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.46%3.39cote équitable
EV +8.41%
Avantage +2.29%
Kelly +3.14%
Croissance +0.264%

avec la cote maximale 3.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.46%29.15%29.55%30.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.203.193.6834.48%31.25%31.35%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.77%3.74cote équitable
EV +0.377%
Avantage +0.101%
Kelly +0.137%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%26.81%26.64%28.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.443.7532.26%28.92%29.07%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.01%EV -27.34%E -16.47%K -41.42%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.46%EV +8.41%E +2.29%K +3.14%G +0.264%3.52I 28.41%NM 24.53%EV -5.78%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-07 11:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.45%E -6.23%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +3.11%E +0.889%K +1.24%G +0.039%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.45%E -6.23%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +3.11%E +0.889%K +1.24%G +0.039%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:20
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -17.27%E -9.14%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV +3.11%E +0.889%K +1.24%G +0.039%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -0.961%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 11:27
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -14.64%E -7.51%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV +0.164%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 11:20
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.40%EV -2.82%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.59%EV -0.720%E -0.214%K -0.304%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.01%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 11:30
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -15.08%E -7.77%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -0.961%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 11:29
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -15.52%E -8.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -0.961%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:29
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -15.52%E -8.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -0.961%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:30
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -15.52%E -8.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -0.961%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -15.52%E -8.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -0.961%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:29
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -15.52%E -8.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -0.961%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:30
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -15.52%E -8.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -0.961%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.64%EV -15.96%E -8.31%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -1.31%E -0.391%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -2.30%E -0.630%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 11:30
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -17.27%E -9.14%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -17.27%E -9.14%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 11:30
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -5.45%E -2.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.67%EV -3.08%E -0.935%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.66%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 11:29
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV +1.12%E +0.483%K +0.851%G +0.009%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV +1.12%E +0.483%K +0.851%G +0.009%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 11:30
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 41.54%EV +1.55%E +0.669%K +1.18%G +0.018%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.03%EV -5.43%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.43%EV -9.26%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 11:30
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 11:29
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -4.14%E -1.89%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.31%EV -6.02%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -10.60%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 11:29
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -7.20%E -3.40%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV +0.377%E +0.101%K +0.137%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-07 11:29
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.65%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 11:29
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.65%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 11:30
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.89%EV -8.51%E -4.07%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 11:30
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.27%EV -4.14%E -1.89%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -8.08%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -1.51%E -0.672%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -7.65%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 11:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 11:28
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -16.39%E -8.58%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -17.02%E -5.49%K -8.11%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-07 11:19
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.47%EV -21.21%E -11.78%K -26.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.98%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.55%EV -15.68%E -4.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-07 11:19
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 11:30
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 11:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 11:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 11:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 11:30
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -15.68%E -4.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.27%E -5.01%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 11:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.19%EV -13.77%E -6.99%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -11.62%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-07 11:29
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -12.45%E -6.23%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.09%E -4.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 11:29
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -5.89%E -2.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -14.57%E -5.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 11:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -12.45%E -6.23%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.57%E -5.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-07 11:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-07 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-07 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-03-07 11:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-03-07 11:30
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-07 11:30