Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shanghai SIPG FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

2026-10-18 12:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prediction 47.35%2.11fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.81%47.54%47.33%49.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.921.952.0357.14%52.04%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)

Prediction 28.38%3.52fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -0.857%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.19%28.30%28.24%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.233.4533.33%30.94%31.01%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.730%
Kelly -0.973%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.17%24.16%24.43%24.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.793.754.0027.78%26.41%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 47.35%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 28.38%; Draw: 24.27%. For Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.45, with an expected value of -2.10%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.96%EV -3.87%E -1.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.15%EV -7.21%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.89%EV -3.16%E -0.792%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 13:19
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.15%EV -4.65%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 13:30
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.92%E -0.730%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.13%EV -10.33%E -3.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 14:29
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 12:24
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 12:23
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:24
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:49
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:24
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.56%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 13:49
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -10.03%E -5.28%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -2.10%E -0.608%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.92%E -0.730%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 12:24
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -10.03%E -5.28%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 12:24
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -11.45%E -6.12%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.92%E -0.730%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 12:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.34%EV -11.92%E -6.41%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-11 12:24
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.77%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 12:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.07%EV -12.87%E -7.00%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-11 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.77%EV -17.13%E -9.79%K -22.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.53%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-11 12:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.