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Shanghai SIPG FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Prediction 51.56%1.94fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.77%51.69%51.50%55.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.801.801.9060.98%55.46%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)
Prediction 24.49%4.08fair odd
EV +4.80%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 4.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.21%24.32%24.55%27.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.693.704.2832.26%27.07%27.03%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.96%4.17fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.572%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%23.99%23.95%26.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.854.1027.78%26.19%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 51.56%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 24.49%; Draw: 23.96%. For Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.21%EV +4.80%E +1.12%K +1.46%G +0.070% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -8.23%E -4.62%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +2.84%E +0.676%K +0.887%G +0.025% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.391%E +0.095%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV +0.391%E +0.095%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -13.90%E -8.32%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV +0.391%E +0.095%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 11:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -13.90%E -8.32%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 11:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 11:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.63%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -8.91%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.25%EV -3.69%E -0.918%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 11:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -2.04%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.68%EV -9.16%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.18%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -8.75%E -4.94%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.76%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.55%EV -8.23%E -4.62%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -15.52%E -4.50%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.63%EV -6.68%E -3.69%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -16.75%E -4.93%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.60%EV -15.45%E -9.42%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.89%EV -16.75%E -4.93%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.51%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.55%EV -7.71%E -4.31%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -17.97%E -5.37%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.47%EV -8.75%E -4.94%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -12.55%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.47%EV -8.75%E -4.94%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -19.20%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -12.55%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.77%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.53%EV -24.09%E -7.77%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-10-18 11:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 11:55 |