Language:English
Shanghai Shenhua FC v Yunnan Yukun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -8.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.69%60.47%59.86%63.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.501.5871.43%66.57%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yunnan Yukun (Visit)
Prediction 20.82%4.80fair odd
EV +12.42%
Edge +2.30%
Kelly +2.82%
Growth +0.351%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.32%20.54%21.13%22.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.654.605.4026.67%21.49%21.74%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.01%5.26fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -0.831%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.19%18.99%19.01%19.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.814.805.0422.22%20.79%20.83%19.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 60.17%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 20.82%; Draw: 19.01%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +12.42%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.351% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 11:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +12.42%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.351% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 11:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +12.42%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.351% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 11:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +12.42%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.351% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +12.42%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.351% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +12.42%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.351% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -13.96%E -9.76%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +6.18%E +1.21%K +1.51%G +0.093% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -14.56%E -10.25%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV +6.18%E +1.21%K +1.51%G +0.093% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.54%E -5.62%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV +4.09%E +0.819%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.95%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.74%E -6.50%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV +4.09%E +0.819%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -4.95%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.74%E -6.50%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV +4.09%E +0.819%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -4.95%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.74%E -6.50%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV +4.09%E +0.819%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -4.95%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -15.76%E -11.26%K -39.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV +4.09%E +0.819%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -15.76%E -11.26%K -39.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV +4.09%E +0.819%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.52%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.05%EV -0.694%E -0.146%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.43%EV -6.47%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 10:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.74%E -6.50%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -1.11%E -0.234%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.95%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.25%EV -13.35%E -9.27%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -1.11%E -0.234%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.23%E -0.920%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.95%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 02:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -9.74%E -6.50%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -4.23%E -0.920%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.95%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.59%EV -8.54%E -5.62%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.23%E -0.920%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 12:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.74%E -6.50%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -4.23%E -0.920%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:26 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.49%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.79%EV -5.48%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.72%EV -4.19%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.06%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.24%EV -7.56%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.71%EV -4.19%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.54%E -5.62%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 07:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.54%E -5.62%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 07:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.44%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -9.85%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -9.85%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -9.85%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -9.85%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.60%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -9.74%E -6.50%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -4.95%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.56%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -4.95%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 11:43 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.54%E -5.62%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.56%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -9.74%E -6.50%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -14.64%E -3.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 60.17%EV -14.56%E -10.25%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.84%EV -14.64%E -3.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-10-05 07:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -10.35%E -6.94%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -16.72%E -4.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-05 07:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -13.35%E -9.27%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -21.93%E -5.85%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.