L’École des cotes

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–2 Wuhan Three Towns

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prévision 58.52%1.71cote équitable
EV -4.61%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -7.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%58.66%58.48%62.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.461.561.571.6368.49%64.25%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.83%5.04cote équitable
EV +11.07%
Avantage +1.98%
Kelly +2.41%
Croissance +0.266%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.61%19.73%19.95%21.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.844.755.6024.39%20.65%21.05%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.65%4.62cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -0.576%
Kelly -0.741%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.50%21.61%21.57%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.254.304.5028.57%23.56%23.26%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:25
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:30
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:30
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV +9.08%E +1.65%K +2.02%G +0.183%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 17:25
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV +9.08%E +1.65%K +2.02%G +0.183%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.64%EV -13.39%E -9.05%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +7.10%E +1.32%K +1.61%G +0.115%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-18 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.61%EV -14.56%E -9.97%K -31.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV +5.12%E +0.966%K +1.19%G +0.061%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-18 17:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.61%EV -14.56%E -9.97%K -31.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV +5.12%E +0.966%K +1.19%G +0.061%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-18 17:30
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -0.832%E -0.166%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -2.59%E -0.576%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -0.832%E -0.166%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.76%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 02:49
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.35%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.95%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 02:48
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 58.83%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.37%EV -1.82%E -0.368%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -4.76%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 02:49
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 02:49
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 02:49
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 02:49
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 02:46
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -2.59%E -0.576%K -0.741%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -11.25%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 02:49
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.62%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.95%EV -5.00%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.43%EV -3.46%E -0.776%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 02:49
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.79%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.59%E -0.576%K -0.741%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 02:49
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.79%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.59%E -0.576%K -0.741%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 02:49
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -8.71%E -5.58%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.79%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 02:49
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.29%E -6.00%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -5.79%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.25%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 02:49
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.66%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 02:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 02:49
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:49
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:49
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:48
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.87%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -9.76%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 02:49
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.87%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -9.76%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 02:49
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.74%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 02:49
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-20 02:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 02:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -24.24%E -6.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.27%EV -11.05%E -7.27%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -12.73%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -11.25%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.71%E -5.58%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -14.72%E -3.42%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 02:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -16.70%E -3.98%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.42%EV -11.05%E -7.27%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -18.68%E -4.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -11.25%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-20 02:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-05-20 02:49