La escuela de los momios

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Inicio: 2026-05-20 11:35 UTC

Final: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–2 Wuhan Three Towns

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Predicción 58.52%1.71momio equitativo
EV -4.61%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -7.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.76%58.66%58.48%62.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.461.561.571.6368.49%64.25%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante)

Predicción 19.83%5.04momio equitativo
EV +11.07%
Ventaja +1.98%
Kelly +2.41%
Crecimiento +0.266%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.61%19.73%19.95%21.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.844.755.6024.39%20.65%21.05%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.65%4.62momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -0.576%
Kelly -0.741%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.50%21.61%21.57%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.254.304.5028.57%23.56%23.26%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:25
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:30
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +11.07%E +1.98%K +2.41%G +0.266%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:30
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV +9.08%E +1.65%K +2.02%G +0.183%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 17:25
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -12.80%E -8.59%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV +9.08%E +1.65%K +2.02%G +0.183%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.64%EV -13.39%E -9.05%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV +7.10%E +1.32%K +1.61%G +0.115%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-18 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.61%EV -14.56%E -9.97%K -31.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV +5.12%E +0.966%K +1.19%G +0.061%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-18 17:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.61%EV -14.56%E -9.97%K -31.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV +5.12%E +0.966%K +1.19%G +0.061%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-18 17:30
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -0.832%E -0.166%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -2.59%E -0.576%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -0.832%E -0.166%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.76%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 02:49
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.35%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.95%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 02:48
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 58.83%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.37%EV -1.82%E -0.368%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -4.76%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 02:49
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 02:49
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 02:49
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 02:49
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 02:46
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -2.59%E -0.576%K -0.741%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.80%E -1.000%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -11.25%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 02:49
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.62%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.95%EV -5.00%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.43%EV -3.46%E -0.776%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 02:49
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.79%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.59%E -0.576%K -0.741%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 02:49
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.79%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.59%E -0.576%K -0.741%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 02:49
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -8.71%E -5.58%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.79%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 02:49
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.29%E -6.00%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -5.79%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.25%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 02:49
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.66%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -7.77%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -5.84%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 02:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 02:49
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:49
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:49
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.77%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 02:48
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.87%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -9.76%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 02:49
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.87%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -9.76%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 02:49
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.74%EV -6.95%E -4.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 02:49
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-20 02:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 02:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -10.75%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -24.24%E -6.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.27%EV -11.05%E -7.27%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -12.73%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -11.25%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.71%E -5.58%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -14.72%E -3.42%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 02:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.46%E -6.84%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -16.70%E -3.98%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.42%EV -11.05%E -7.27%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -18.68%E -4.56%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -11.25%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-20 02:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-05-20 02:49