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Shanghai Shenhua FC v Dalian Yingbo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
Prediction 59.81%1.67fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -6.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.78%59.97%59.64%62.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.521.531.6173.53%65.70%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dalian Yingbo (Visit)
Prediction 17.55%5.70fair odd
EV +5.28%
Edge +0.880%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.71%17.49%17.79%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.325.256.0022.22%18.80%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV -0.362%
Edge -0.082%
Kelly -0.107%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.08%22.55%22.57%23.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.054.104.4026.32%24.67%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 59.81%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 17.55%; Draw: 22.64%. For Dalian Yingbo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.70. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -10.29%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +5.28%E +0.880%K +1.06%G +0.056% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.362%E -0.082%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.30%EV +3.35%E +0.569%K +0.685%G +0.023% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.17%EV -1.95%E -0.450%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV +1.77%E +0.305%K +0.369%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV +1.77%E +0.305%K +0.369%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV +1.77%E +0.305%K +0.369%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 08:48 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV +1.77%E +0.305%K +0.369%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV +1.77%E +0.305%K +0.369%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV +1.77%E +0.305%K +0.369%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV +1.77%E +0.305%K +0.369%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV +1.77%E +0.305%K +0.369%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV +1.77%E +0.305%K +0.369%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -11.48%E -7.76%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV +0.016%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -0.362%E -0.082%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -12.68%E -8.68%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -1.74%E -0.310%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -12.68%E -8.68%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -1.74%E -0.310%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -10.29%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -3.49%E -0.635%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.95%E -0.450%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.49%E -0.635%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.37%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.70%EV -5.25%E -0.972%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -5.25%E -0.972%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -5.25%E -0.972%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.53%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -5.25%E -0.972%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.02%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.55%EV -6.13%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.63%EV -6.02%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.88%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.88%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.30%E -4.71%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.88%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.88%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.82%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -8.76%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.47%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.28%EV -9.63%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%EV -8.29%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 08:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -12.27%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.27%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.27%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.27%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.29%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.27%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -12.27%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -12.27%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.94%EV -16.27%E -11.62%K -40.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -12.27%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 21.99%EV -12.14%E -3.13%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.87%EV -12.44%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.64%EV -5.80%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.15%EV -18.66%E -13.72%K -51.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 16.97%EV -14.02%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.88%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.51%EV -12.68%E -8.68%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.92%EV -14.90%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -12.82%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -7.90%E -5.13%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.30%E -4.71%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 08:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.30%E -4.71%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.65%E -3.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.37%EV -10.29%E -6.86%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -21.04%E -4.68%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -10.55%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.34% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 08:50 |