The School of Odds

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Beijing FC

2026-07-11 11:35 — Super League - China

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Odds
2.1047.62%Min
2.2744.00%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.3941.84%Max
Consensus probabilities
39.45%2.535Min
41.53%2.408Max
40.24%2.485Mean
40.24%2.485Median
40.32%2.480IQM
40.23%2.486Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.39 under the IQM model: 40.32%

EV -3.64%Edge -1.52%Kelly -2.62%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Beijing FC (Visit)

Odds
2.3842.02%Min
2.5938.54%Mean
2.6138.31%Median
2.7336.63%Max
Consensus probabilities
34.54%2.896Min
36.87%2.712Max
35.25%2.836Mean
35.20%2.841Median
35.17%2.843IQM
35.31%2.832Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.73 under the IQM model: 35.17%

EV -3.97%Edge -1.46%Kelly -2.30%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.7526.64%Mean
3.7526.67%Median
4.0025.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.05%4.339Min
25.92%3.858Max
24.50%4.081Mean
24.56%4.072Median
24.51%4.080IQM
24.46%4.089Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.51%

EV -1.97%Edge -0.493%Kelly -0.657%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerShanghai Shenhua FC (Local) ▼Beijing FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.39I 41.84% NM 39.96%EV -3.64% E -1.52% K -2.62% G +0.000%2.72I 36.76% NM 35.11%EV -4.32% E -1.59% K -2.51% G +0.000%3.83I 26.11% NM 24.93%EV -6.14% E -1.60% K -2.17% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 11:55
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19% NM 39.95%EV -4.45% E -1.88% K -3.25% G +0.000%2.66I 37.59% NM 35.59%EV -6.43% E -2.42% K -3.88% G +0.000%3.87I 25.84% NM 24.46%EV -5.16% E -1.33% K -1.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 12:55
Coolbet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.14%EV -5.25% E -2.24% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.28%EV -8.55% E -3.29% K -5.34% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.58%EV -1.97% E -0.493% K -0.657% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 11:59
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74% NM 39.88%EV -5.66% E -2.42% K -4.22% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.56%EV -5.03% E -1.86% K -2.96% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.56%EV -10.55% E -2.89% K -3.98% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 13:24
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74% NM 39.88%EV -5.66% E -2.42% K -4.22% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.56%EV -5.03% E -1.86% K -2.96% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.56%EV -10.55% E -2.89% K -3.98% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 13:25
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10% NM 39.96%EV -6.46% E -2.79% K -4.90% G +0.000%2.64I 37.88% NM 35.12%EV -7.14% E -2.70% K -4.35% G +0.000%3.72I 26.88% NM 24.92%EV -8.83% E -2.37% K -3.25% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 11:50
SportsBet2.30I 43.48% NM 40.37%EV -7.27% E -3.16% K -5.59% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.41%EV -10.30% E -4.04% K -6.65% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.21%EV -1.97% E -0.493% K -0.657% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 11:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48% NM 40.37%EV -7.27% E -3.16% K -5.59% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.41%EV -10.30% E -4.04% K -6.65% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.21%EV -1.97% E -0.493% K -0.657% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.37%EV -7.27% E -3.16% K -5.59% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.41%EV -10.30% E -4.04% K -6.65% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.21%EV -1.97% E -0.493% K -0.657% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 13:45
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48% NM 40.08%EV -7.27% E -3.16% K -5.59% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.87%EV -12.06% E -4.83% K -8.04% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.05%EV -1.97% E -0.493% K -0.657% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 12:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48% NM 40.01%EV -7.27% E -3.16% K -5.59% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.09%EV -10.30% E -4.04% K -6.65% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 23.90%EV -5.65% E -1.47% K -1.98% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 11:59
888sport2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -7.27% E -3.16% K -5.59% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -7.84% E -2.99% K -4.84% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -14.22% E -4.06% K -5.69% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 11:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -7.27% E -3.16% K -5.59% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -7.84% E -2.99% K -4.84% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -14.22% E -4.06% K -5.69% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -7.27% E -3.16% K -5.59% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -7.84% E -2.99% K -4.84% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -14.22% E -4.06% K -5.69% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 11:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -7.27% E -3.16% K -5.59% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -7.84% E -2.99% K -4.84% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -14.22% E -4.06% K -5.69% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 11:55
NordicBet2.28I 43.86% NM 40.67%EV -8.08% E -3.54% K -6.31% G +0.000%2.68I 37.31% NM 34.60%EV -5.73% E -2.14% K -3.41% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.73%EV -8.10% E -2.16% K -2.94% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 12:05
Betsson2.28I 43.86% NM 40.67%EV -8.08% E -3.54% K -6.31% G +0.000%2.68I 37.31% NM 34.60%EV -5.73% E -2.14% K -3.41% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.73%EV -8.10% E -2.16% K -2.94% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 12:05
GTbets2.27I 44.05% NM 41.53%EV -8.48% E -3.74% K -6.68% G +0.000%2.73I 36.63% NM 34.54%EV -3.97% E -1.46% K -2.30% G +0.000%3.94I 25.38% NM 23.93%EV -3.44% E -0.873% K -1.17% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 11:04
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44% NM 40.94%EV -9.29% E -4.13% K -7.43% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.43%EV -8.55% E -3.29% K -5.34% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.62%EV -4.42% E -1.13% K -1.52% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44% NM 40.83%EV -9.29% E -4.13% K -7.43% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 34.67%EV -6.79% E -2.56% K -4.11% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.50%EV -8.10% E -2.16% K -2.94% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 12:05
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44% NM 40.56%EV -9.29% E -4.13% K -7.43% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.10%EV -8.55% E -3.29% K -5.34% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.34%EV -8.10% E -2.16% K -2.94% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 12:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45% NM 40.67%EV -11.30% E -5.14% K -9.42% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 35.79%EV -12.06% E -4.83% K -8.04% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.54%EV -6.87% E -1.81% K -2.45% G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-05 11:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 40.98%EV -13.32% E -6.19% K -11.58% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 34.55%EV -10.30% E -4.04% K -6.65% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.47%EV -11.77% E -3.27% K -4.53% G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-05 12:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51% NM 40.97%EV -13.32% E -6.19% K -11.58% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 35.23%EV -12.06% E -4.83% K -8.04% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 23.80%EV -9.32% E -2.52% K -3.45% G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-05 12:05
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62% NM 40.56%EV -15.33% E -7.30% K -13.94% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 35.79%EV -16.28% E -6.84% K -11.80% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.66%EV -11.77% E -3.27% K -4.53% G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-05 12:15
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 40.40%EV -15.33% E -7.30% K -13.94% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 35.35%EV -15.58% E -6.49% K -11.13% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.24%EV -14.22% E -4.06% K -5.69% G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-05 12:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth