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Shanghai Shenhua FC v Beijing FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
assuming max odds 2.35
Beijing FC (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.62
Draw
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 39.91%; Beijing FC (Visit): 35.91%; Draw: 24.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -0.861%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.861%E -0.210%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.22%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -3.28%E -0.820%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -10.22%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.28%E -0.820%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.91%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.95%E -3.60%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-10 14:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.91%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.95%E -3.60%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-10 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.91%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.95%E -3.60%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-10 14:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.91%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.95%E -3.60%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-10 14:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.63%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -15.37%E -4.39%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-11 11:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -12.02%E -4.91%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -8.11%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-11 08:38 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.42% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 11:29 |
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